Tables and figures
Preface
pt. 1. The 2000 presidential election
[ch.] 1. The nomination struggle
Who ran
The rules of the nomination system
Why Bush won
Why Gore won
The conventions
[ch.] 2. The general election campaign
The strategic context and the candidate's choices
From Labor day to the debates
The debates : the Republicans surpass low expectations
Final efforts
Did the campaign matter?
[ch.] 3. The election results
The election rules
The pattern of results
State-by-state results
Electoral change in the postwar South
The electoral-vote balance
pt. 2. Voting behavior in the 2000 presidential election
[ch.] 4. Who voted?
Turnout from 1828 through 1920
Turnout from 1920 through 2000
Turnouts among social groups
Why has turnout declined?
Does low turnout matter?
[ch.] 5. Social forces and the vote
How social groups voted in 2000
- How social groups voted during the postwar years
Why the New Deal Coalition broke down
[ch.] 6. Candidates, issues, and the vote
Attitudes toward the candidates
Prospective evaluations
The concerns of the electorate
Issue positions and perceptions
Issue voting criteria
Apparent issue voting in 2000
Conclusion
[ch.] 7. Presidential performance and candidate choice
What is retrospective voting?
Evaluations of governmental performance
Economic evaluations and the vote for the incumbent
Evaluations of the incumbent
The impact of retrospective evaluations
Conclusion
[ch.] 8. Party loyalties, policy preferences, and the vote
Party identification : the standard view
Party identification : an alternative view
Party identification in the electorate
Party identification and the vote
Policy preferences and performance evaluations
Conclusion
pt. 3. The 2000 congressional election
[ch.] 9. Candidates and outcomes in 2000
Election outcomes in 2000
- Candidates' resources and election outcomes
The 2000 elections : the impact on congress
The 2002 elections and beyond
[ch.] 10. The congressional electorate in 2000
Social forces and the congressional vote
Issues and the congressional vote
Party identification and the congressional vote
Incumbency and the congressional vote
The congressional vote as a referendum
Presidential coattails and the congressional vote
Conclusion
pt. 4. The 2000 elections in perspective
[ch.] 11. The 2000 elections and the future of American politics
Prospects for the Democrats
Prospects for the Republicans
Prospects for a new political party
Prospects for continued electoral volatility
Notes
Suggested readings
Index.