001414754 000__ 05585nam\a2200457\i\4500 001414754 001__ 1414754 001414754 003__ MiAaPQ 001414754 005__ 20221109003237.0 001414754 006__ m\\\\\o\\d\\\\\\\\ 001414754 007__ cr\cn\nnnunnun 001414754 008__ 150127t20152015njua\\\\ob\\\\001\0\eng\d 001414754 020__ $$a9781118919385 001414754 020__ $$z9781118919330 (hardback) 001414754 035__ $$a(MiAaPQ)EBC7104231 001414754 035__ $$a(Au-PeEL)EBL7104231 001414754 040__ $$aMiAaPQ$$beng$$erda$$epn$$cMiAaPQ$$dMiAaPQ 001414754 050_4 $$aTA190$$b.H467 2015 001414754 0820_ $$a620.0068/4$$223 001414754 1001_ $$aHerrmann, Jeffrey W.,$$eauthor. 001414754 24510 $$aEngineering decision making and risk management /$$cJeffrey W. Herrmann. 001414754 264_1 $$aHoboken, New Jersey :$$bWiley,$$c[2015] 001414754 264_4 $$c2015 001414754 300__ $$a1 online resource (357 pages) :$$billustrations. 001414754 336__ $$atext$$2rdacontent 001414754 337__ $$acomputer$$2rdamedia 001414754 338__ $$aonline resource$$2rdacarrier 001414754 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 001414754 5058_ $$aMachine generated contents note: 1. Introduction to Engineering Decision Making 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Decision Making in Engineering Practice 1.3 Decision Making and Optimization 1.4 Decision Making and Problem Solving 1.5 Decision Making and Risk Management 1.6 Problems in Decision Making 1.7 The Value of Improving Decision Making 1.8 Perspectives on Decision Making Exercises References 2. Decision Making Fundamentals 2.1 Decision Characteristics 2.2 Objectives in Decision Making 2.3 Influence Diagrams 2.4 Rationality 2.5 Dominance 2.6 Choice Strategies 2.7 Making Tradeoffs 2.8 Reframing the Decision 2.9 Risk Acceptance 2.10 Measurement Scales Exercises References 3. Multicriteria Decision Making 3.1 Pugh Concept Selection Method 3.2 Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) 3.3 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT) 3.4 Conjoint Analysis 3.5 Value of a Statistical Life 3.6 Compensation 3.7 The Impact of Changing Weights Exercises References 4. Group Decision Making 4.1 Ranking 4.2 Scoring and Majority Judgment 4.3 Arrow's Impossibility Theorem Exercises References 5. Decision Making Under Uncertainty 5.1 Types of Uncertainties 5.2 Assessing a Subjective Probability 5.3 Imprecise Probabilities 5.4 Cumulative Risk Profile and Dominance 5.5 Decision Trees: Modeling 5.6 Decision Trees: Determining Expected Values 5.7 Sequential Decision Making 5.8 Modeling Risk Aversion 5.9 Robustness 5.10 Uncertainty Propagation: Sensitivity Analysis 5.11 Uncertainty Propagation: Method of Moments 5.12 Uncertainty Propagation: Monte Carlo Simulation Exercises References 6. Game Theory 6.1 Game Theory Basics 6.2 Zero-sum Games 6.3 Optimal Mixed Strategies for Zero-sum Games 6.4 The Minimax Theorem 6.5 Resource Allocation Games 6.6 Mixed Motive Games 6.7 Bidding 6.8 Stackelberg Games Exercises References 7. Decision-making Processes 7.1 Decision-making Contexts 7.2 Technical Knowledge and Problem Consensus 7.3 Optimization: Search and Evaluation 7.4 Diagnosing Risk Decision Situations 7.5 Values and Ethics 7.6 Systematic Decision-making Processes 7.7 The Decision-making Cycle 7.8 The Analytic-deliberative Process 7.9 Concept Selection 7.10 Decision Calculus 7.11 Recognition-primed Decision Making 7.12 Heuristics 7.13 Unconscious Decision Making 7.14 Search 7.15 Types of Search in Practice 7.16 Secretary Problem 7.17 Composite Decisions 7.18 Separation 7.19 Product Development Processes Exercises References 8. The Value of Information 8.1 The Expected Value of Perfect Information 8.2 The Expected Value of Imperfect Information 8.3 Experimentation to Reduce Ambiguity 8.4 Experimentation to Compare Alternatives 8.5 Experimentation to Compare Alternatives with Multiple Attributes Exercises References 9. Risk Management 9.1 Risk Management Process 9.2 Potential Problem Analysis 9.3 Risk Management Guide for DOD Acquisition 9.4 Risk Management at NASA 9.5 Precursors 9.6 Warnings 9.7 Risk Communication 9.8 Managing the Risk of a Bad Decision 9.9 Learning from Failures 9.10 Transforming Failure Information Exercises References 10. Decision-making Systems 10.1 Introduction to Decision-making Systems 10.2 Mechanisms of Organization Influence 10.3 Roles in Decision-making Systems 10.4 Information Flow 10.5 The Structure of Decision-making Systems 10.6 Product Development Organizations 10.7 Information Flow in Product Development 10.8 The Design Factory Exercises References 11. Modeling and Improving Decision-making Systems 11.1 Modeling Decision-making Systems 11.2 Rich Pictures 11.3 Swimlanes 11.4 Root Definitions 11.5 Conceptual Models 11.6 Models of Product Development Organizations 11.7 Improving Decision-making Systems 11.8 An Integrative Strategy Exercises References. 001414754 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users. 001414754 520__ $$a"Engineering Decision Making and Risk Management uniquely presents and discusses three perspectives on decision making: problem solving, the decision-making process, and decision-making systems"--$$cProvided by publisher. 001414754 588__ $$aDescription based on print version record. 001414754 650_0 $$aDecision making. 001414754 650_0 $$aEngineering$$xDecision making. 001414754 650_0 $$aRisk management. 001414754 655_0 $$aElectronic books 001414754 77608 $$iPrint version:$$aHerrmann, Jeffrey W.$$tEngineering decision making and risk management.$$dHoboken, New Jersey : Wiley, [2015]$$z9781118919330$$w(DLC) 2014041070 001414754 852__ $$bebk 001414754 85640 $$3ProQuest Ebook Central Academic Complete $$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/usiricelib-ebooks/detail.action?docID=7104231$$zOnline Access 001414754 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:1414754$$pGLOBAL_SET 001414754 980__ $$aBIB 001414754 980__ $$aEBOOK 001414754 982__ $$aEbook 001414754 983__ $$aOnline