COVID-19 pandemic dynamics : mathematical simulations / Igor Nesteruk.
Nesteruk, Igor, author.
2021
RA644.C67
Available Online

Linked e-resources

Linked Resource Online Access
Concurrent users Unlimited
Authorized users Authorized users
Document Delivery Supplied Can lend chapters, not whole ebooks

Details

Title COVID-19 pandemic dynamics : mathematical simulations / Igor Nesteruk.
Author Nesteruk, Igor, author.
ISBN 9789813364165 (electronic bk.)
9813364165 (electronic bk.)
9813364157
9789813364158
DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-33-6416-5
Published Singapore : Springer, [2021]
Language English
Description 1 online resource
Item Number 10.1007/978-981-33-6416-5 doi
Call Number RA644.C67
Dewey Decimal Classification 614.5/92414
Summary This book highlights the estimate of epidemic characteristics for different countries/regions in the world with the use of known SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) model for the dynamics of the epidemic, the known exact solution of the linear differential equations and statistical approach developed before. The COVID-19 pandemic is of great interest to researchers due to its high mortality and a negative impact to the world economy. Correct simulation of the pandemic dynamics needs complicated mathematical models and many efforts for unknown parameters identification. The simple method of detection of the new pandemic wave is proposed and SIR model generalized. The hidden periods, epidemic durations, final numbers of cases, the effective reproduction numbers and probabilities of meeting an infected person are presented for countries like USA, Germany, UK, the Republic of Korea, Italy, Spain, France, the Republic of Moldova, Ukraine, and for the world. The presented information is useful to regulate the quarantine activities and to predict the medical and economic consequences of different/future pandemics.
Access Note Access limited to authorized users.
Digital File Characteristics text file
PDF
Source of Description Online resource; title from PDF title page (SpringerLink, viewed March 16, 2021).
Available in Other Form Print version: 9789813364158
Linked Resources Online Access
Record Appears in Online Resources > Ebooks
All Resources
Introduction
Data used for calculations, comparisons and verifications
Classical SIR model and the exact solution of differential equations
Results of SIR simulation for the pandemic dynamics in different countries and regions
Procedures of the parameter identification for the waves of epidemics
Conclusions.

Browse Subjects

Show more subjects...

Statistics

from
to
Export