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001438905 001__ 1438905
001438905 003__ OCoLC
001438905 005__ 20230309004400.0
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001438905 019__ $$a1263663434
001438905 020__ $$a9783030782993$$q(electronic bk.)
001438905 020__ $$a3030782999$$q(electronic bk.)
001438905 020__ $$z9783030782986
001438905 020__ $$z3030782980
001438905 0247_ $$a10.1007/978-3-030-78299-3$$2doi
001438905 035__ $$aSP(OCoLC)1263874638
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001438905 043__ $$aaw-----
001438905 049__ $$aISEA
001438905 050_4 $$aDS63.123
001438905 08204 $$a956.05/4$$223
001438905 1001_ $$aTausch, Arno,$$d1951-
001438905 24514 $$aThe future of the Gulf Region :$$bvalue change and global cycles /$$cArno Tausch.
001438905 260__ $$aCham :$$bSpringer,$$c2021.
001438905 300__ $$a1 online resource (470 pages)
001438905 336__ $$atext$$btxt$$2rdacontent
001438905 337__ $$acomputer$$bc$$2rdamedia
001438905 338__ $$aonline resource$$bcr$$2rdacarrier
001438905 4901_ $$aGulf studies ;$$vv. 2
001438905 500__ $$a4.1 Introduction to Kondratieff Waves, Warfare, and World Security and Their Implications for the Gulf Region.
001438905 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references and indexes.
001438905 5050_ $$aIntro -- Preface -- References -- Praise for The Future of the Gulf Region: Value Change and Global Cycles -- Contents -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- 1 Introduction: Factors Affecting the Gulf's Future -- 1.1 What This Book Is All About -- 1.2 Gulf Studies: General Perspectives on Current Research on the Subject -- 1.2.1 The Gulf Countries-An Attempt at Regional Integration -- 1.2.2 Gulf Security -- 1.2.3 The GCC-The Balance Sheet of the Integration Process -- 1.2.4 The Gulf and Comparative Regional Integration
001438905 5058_ $$a1.3 Introducing a "UNDP Perspective": Focusing on Inequality and Still Existing Restrictive Gender Norms -- References -- 2 Methodology and Data for Assessing the Effects of Global Cycles and Value Change on the Future of the Gulf Region -- 2.1 Introduction to the Methodology and Data for the Study of the Factors Affecting the Gulf's Future: Global Cycles and Value Change -- 2.2 Statistical Methods for the Study of the Factors Affecting the Gulf's Future -- 2.3 Time Series Analysis in Chaps. 3 and 4 -- 2.4 Methods of Time Series Analyses in Chaps. 3 and 4
001438905 5058_ $$a2.5 The Survey Data Used from Chaps. 5-8 -- 2.5.1 Arab Opinion Index -- 2.5.2 PEW Spring Surveys -- 2.5.3 World Values Survey -- 2.5.4 Arab Barometer -- 2.5.5 The ADL-100 Index of Global Antisemitism -- 2.6 UNDP-type Index Construction -- 2.7 Indicators Based on Advanced Multivariate Methodology -- 2.8 Value and Development Accounting for the Gulf Region -- 2.9 Predictors of Antisemitism -- 2.10 Accounting for Value Change Across Generations -- References -- 3 COVID-19 and the Contours of the Impending Global Crisis: Western Meltdown, Gulf Fallout?
001438905 5058_ $$a3.1 Introduction to COVID-19 and the Contours of the Impending Global Crisis -- 3.2 COVID-19 and the Current Global Crisis -- 3.3 "The Pandemic Is Expected to Leave Lasting Economic Scars" (World Bank, 2021): What the World Can Learn from Past Pandemics -- 3.4 What the World Can Learn from the Great Depression -- 3.5 What the World Can Learn from the End of the Soviet Union and "Real Socialism" in Eastern Europe -- 3.6 What the World Can Learn from the 2008/2009 Crisis -- 3.7 The Geostrategic Implications of the 2008/2009: Now, There Is Worse to Come
001438905 5058_ $$a3.8 How Well Prepared Are the Gulf Countries? -- 3.9 "The Pandemic Is Expected to Leave Lasting Economic Scars" (World Bank, 2021): Public Health and Mortality effects -- 3.10 The Economic Fallout from COVID-19 -- 3.10.1 Drivers of the Severity of the Global Health Impact -- 3.11 What We Know About Pandemic Severity Rates -- 3.12 The Rising Chinese Global Dominance -- 3.13 Prospects and Conclusions for the World After the Pandemic -- References -- 4 Caught in the "Thucydides Trap?" Revisiting Kondratieff Waves, Warfare, and World Security and Their Implications for the Gulf Region
001438905 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users.
001438905 520__ $$aThis book studies values and attitudes in the Gulf region. In light of global power shifts, the threatening collapse of internal security in the West, and uncertainty about the current leadership vacuum in world society, this book explores a future leading role of the Gulf countries in such institutions as the G-20 and the OECD. Based on rigorous analysis of macro-level data and opinion surveys with relevance for the Gulf region, it analyzes the global macro-factors shaping the Gulf's future at a time of the global COVID-19 crisis and depression and rising global tensions. Starting with an empirical time series analysis of the long cycles of global politics and economics, it highlights the implications for the Gulf region. Offering a multivariate analysis of civil society values in the Gulf, the author analyzes value changes and attitudes on antisemitism, political Islam, internal security, democracy, and other issues of Arab politics. The partially optimistic conclusions of the study testify to the underestimated and incipient maturity of the Gulfs civil society and strongly suggest that the Gulf's future is rather with the free societies of the West and not with a Neo-Ottoman Empire in whatever form. "Exceptional in scope and right up-to-the-minute in coverage" Brian M Pollins, Associate, Professor Emeritus, The Ohio State University. "An outstanding and topical book by an astute scholar of the MENA region" Professor Hussein Solomon, Academic Head of Department, Political Studies and Governance, University of the Free State, South Africa. "The most comprehensive and insightful study on the subject to date" Manfred B. Steger, Professor of Sociology, University of Hawai'i at Manoa and Global Professorial Fellow, Western Sydney University
001438905 588__ $$aDescription based on print version record.
001438905 651_0 $$aMiddle East$$xPolitics and government$$y21st century.
001438905 651_0 $$aMiddle East$$xSocial conditions$$y21st century.
001438905 651_6 $$aMoyen-Orient$$xPolitique et gouvernement$$y21e siècle.
001438905 655_0 $$aElectronic books.
001438905 77608 $$iPrint version:$$aTausch, Arno.$$tFuture of the Gulf Region.$$dCham : Springer International Publishing AG, ©2021$$z9783030782986
001438905 830_0 $$aGulf studies ;$$vv. 2.
001438905 852__ $$bebk
001438905 85640 $$3Springer Nature$$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=https://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-030-78299-3$$zOnline Access$$91397441.1
001438905 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:1438905$$pGLOBAL_SET
001438905 980__ $$aBIB
001438905 980__ $$aEBOOK
001438905 982__ $$aEbook
001438905 983__ $$aOnline
001438905 994__ $$a92$$bISE