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The future of Antarctica [electronic resource] : scenarios from classical geopolitics / Jeffrey McGee, David Edmiston, Marcus Haward.

McGee, Jeffrey, author.; Edmiston, David, author.; Haward, M. G. (Marcus G.), author.
2022
KWX70
Available Online
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Title
The future of Antarctica [electronic resource] : scenarios from classical geopolitics / Jeffrey McGee, David Edmiston, Marcus Haward.
Author
McGee, Jeffrey, author.
ISBN
9789811670954 (electronic book)
9811670951 (electronic book)
9811670943
9789811670947
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-7095-4
Published
Singapore, Singapore : Springer, [2022]
Language
English
Description
1 online resource : color illustrations.
Item Number
10.1007/978-981-16-7095-4 doi
Call Number
KWX70
Dewey Decimal Classification
341.2/9
Summary
As global great power competition intensifies, there is growing concern about the geopolitical future of Antarctica. This book delves into the question of how can we anticipate, prepare for, and potentially even shape that future? Now in its 60th year, the Antarctic Treaty System has been comparatively resilient and successful in governing the Antarctic region. This book assesses how our ability to make accurate predictions about the future of the Antarctic Treaty System reduces rapidly in the face of political and biophysical complexity, uncertainty, and the passage of time. This poses a critical risk for organisations making long-range decisions about their policy, strategy, and investments in the frozen south. Scenarios are useful planning tools for considering futures beyond the limits of standard prediction. This book explores how a multi-disciplinary focus of classical geopolitics might be applied systematically to create scenarios on Antarctic futures that are plausible, rigorous, and robust. This book illustrates a pragmatic, nine-step scenario development process, using the topical issue of military activities in Antarctica. Along the way, the authors make suggestions to augment current theory and practice of geopolitical scenario planning. In doing so, this book seeks to rediscover the importance of a classical (primarily state-centric) lens on Antarctic geopolitics, which in recent decades has been overshadowed by more critical perspectives. This book is written for anyone with an interest in the rigorous assessment of geopolitical futures - in Antarctica and beyond.
Bibliography, etc. Note
Includes bibliographical references and index.
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Access limited to authorized users.
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text file
PDF
Source of Description
Online resource; title from PDF title page (SpringerLink, viewed December 15, 2021).
Added Author
Edmiston, David, author.
Haward, M. G. (Marcus G.), author.
Series
Springer polar sciences.
Available in Other Form
Print version: 9789811670947
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Introduction
History of Antarctic territorial claims and spatial contestation
Scenario analysis and the limits of prediction
Objectives, approaches and techniques
Antarctic geopolitics: Background
Militarisation of Antarctica
Antarctic militarisation: Scenario analysis
Antarctic militarisation: Five scenarios
Scenario analysis and the classical view of geopolitics
Conclusion.

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