001448156 000__ 04008cam\a2200505\i\4500
001448156 001__ 1448156
001448156 003__ OCoLC
001448156 005__ 20230310004224.0
001448156 006__ m\\\\\o\\d\\\\\\\\
001448156 007__ cr\cn\nnnunnun
001448156 008__ 220714s2022\\\\sz\a\\\\ob\\\\001\0\eng\d
001448156 020__ $$a9783030994181$$q(electronic bk.)
001448156 020__ $$a303099418X$$q(electronic bk.)
001448156 020__ $$z9783030994174
001448156 0247_ $$a10.1007/978-3-030-99418-1$$2doi
001448156 035__ $$aSP(OCoLC)1335887292
001448156 040__ $$aGW5XE$$beng$$erda$$epn$$cGW5XE$$dN$T$$dOCLCF$$dTXM$$dUKAHL$$dOCLCQ
001448156 043__ $$an-us---
001448156 049__ $$aISEA
001448156 050_4 $$aHC106.84
001448156 08204 $$a330.973$$223/eng/20220714
001448156 1001_ $$aGuerard, John,$$eauthor.
001448156 24514 $$aThe leading economic indicators and business cycles in the United States :$$b100 years of empirical evidence and the opportunities for the future /$$cJohn B. Guerard.
001448156 264_1 $$aCham :$$bPalgrave Macmillan,$$c[2022]
001448156 264_4 $$c©2022
001448156 300__ $$a1 online resource (xxiv, 650 pages) :$$billustrations (some color)
001448156 336__ $$atext$$btxt$$2rdacontent
001448156 337__ $$acomputer$$bc$$2rdamedia
001448156 338__ $$aonline resource$$bcr$$2rdacarrier
001448156 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
001448156 5050_ $$aChapter 1. Economic Growth and Business Cycles in the United States -- Chapter 2. Mr. Wesley Clair Mitchell: The Advent of U.S. and NBER Business Cycle Research -- Chapter 3. Measuring Business Activity, An Introductions to the Contributions of Mr. Persons, Mr. Schumpeter, Mr. Haberler, and Mr. Eckstein -- Chapter 4. Mr. Burns and Mr. Mitchell on Measuring Business Cycles -- Chapter 5. Mr. Geoffrey Moore and NBER Business Cycle Research -- Chapter 6. Mr. Victor Zarnowitz and Economic Forecasting, and NBER Business Cycle Research -- Chapter 7. Regression and Time Series Modeling of Real GDP, the Unemployment Rate, and the Impact of Leading Economic Indicators on Forecasting Accuracy -- Chapter 8. Granger-Causality Testing and LEI Forecasting of Quarterly Mergers and the Unemployment Rate -- Chapter 9. Active Management in Portfolio Selection and Management within Business Cycles and Present-Day COVID -- Chapter 10. Testing and Forecasting the Unemployment Rate with the Most Current Data, TCB LEI, data as of 11/05/2021 -- Chapter 11. Conclusions and Summary.
001448156 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users.
001448156 520__ $$aIn a time of unprecedented economic uncertainty, this book provides empirical guidance to the economy. This monograph explores time series forecasting and economic cycles using the Leading Economic Indicators, LEI, which are maintained and enhanced by The Conference Board. Given the highly statistically significant relationship with GDP and the unemployment rate, the LEI series is particularly useful for practitioners to help predict business cycles. John B. Guerard, Jr., is a member of the McKinley Capital Management Scientific Advisory Board, where he previously served as Director of Quantitative Research in Anchorage, Alaska. John is affiliated with the Computational Finance and Risk Management Program, The University of Washington, Seattle, WA. He earned his AB in Economics from Duke University and Ph.D. in Finance from the University of Texas, Austin. John serves an Associate Editor of the Journal of Investing and The International Journal of Forecasting and has published in these journals as well as Management Science, and Annals of Operations Research.
001448156 588__ $$aOnline resource; title from PDF title page (SpringerLink, viewed July 14, 2022).
001448156 650_0 $$aEconomic indicators$$zUnited States.
001448156 650_0 $$aEconomic forecasting$$zUnited States.
001448156 650_0 $$aBusiness cycles$$zUnited States.
001448156 651_0 $$aUnited States$$xEconomic conditions$$y21st century.
001448156 655_0 $$aElectronic books.
001448156 852__ $$bebk
001448156 85640 $$3Springer Nature$$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=https://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-030-99418-1$$zOnline Access$$91397441.1
001448156 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:1448156$$pGLOBAL_SET
001448156 980__ $$aBIB
001448156 980__ $$aEBOOK
001448156 982__ $$aEbook
001448156 983__ $$aOnline
001448156 994__ $$a92$$bISE