Linked e-resources
Details
Table of Contents
Intro
Preface: Why Are El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-Based Seasonal Forecasts Important in Bangladesh?
Acknowledgments
Contents
About the Author
List of Appendices
List of Figures
List of Tables
Chapter 1: Introduction: Seasonal Flood Potential in Bangladesh
1.1 The Importance of Seasonal Flood Forecasts in Bangladesh
1.2 What Is a Probabilistic Seasonal Forecast?
1.3 What Is ENSO?
1.4 La Niña and Bangladesh Floods?
1.5 What Is the Causal Connection Between La Niña and Seasonal Flooding in Bangladesh?
1.6 How Helpful Are the Seasonal Forecasts in Bangladesh?
1.7 Literature Review
1.8 Book Contents: Chapters
References
Chapter 2: Hydro-Meteorological Variability and Opportunity for Seasonal Forecasts in Bangladesh
2.1 Introduction: Flood Hydrology
2.1.1 Rainfall Patterns
2.1.2 Flood Hydrology
2.1.3 Sources of Floods
2.1.4 Causes of Floods
2.1.5 Occurrence of Floods
2.1.6 Flood Frequency Analysis
2.2 Hydro-Meteorological Variability: Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna Basins
2.2.1 Data, Basic Indices, and Method
2.2.2 Findings
2.3 Conclusions
Appendices
Appendix 1: Result of the Frequency Analysis of Flood-Affected Areas
Appendix 2: Gumbel's Extreme Value Distribution
References
Chapter 3: History of Flood Forecasts and Early Warning in Bangladesh
3.1 Introduction: What Is an Early Warning System?
3.2 History and Growth of EWS in Bangladesh
3.2.1 Indigenous EWS in Bangladesh
3.2.2 Advanced Flood Forecasting and EWS
3.3 The Role of the FFWC and Early Warning Systems in Bangladesh: The Experience of the Catastrophic Flooding in 1998
3.4 Causes of 1998 Flood: La Niña and Rainfall
3.4.1 Water Level Rise in Chandpur
3.4.2 River Stage
3.5 Activities of the Flood Forecasting Center During 1998 Flood
3.5.1 Data Collection and Processing
3.5.2 Meteorological Forecasting and Boundary Estimation
3.6 Flood Forecasting by Numerical Modeling
3.6.1 MIKE-11 Flood Routing Model
3.6.2 Flood Status Mapping
3.7 Flood Warning Dissemination by Daily Bulletin
3.7.1 Comprehensive Flood Perspectives
3.8 Evaluation of Flood Forecasting in Bangladesh
3.8.1 Data Source and Methodology
3.8.2 Performance Evaluation of Boundary Estimates
3.8.3 Performance Evaluation of Flood Forecasting
3.8.4 Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts
3.8.5 Boundary Estimation
3.9 Scopes of Improvements
3.9.1 Precipitation Forecasts
3.9.2 Non-tidal Boundary Estimation
3.9.3 Tidal Boundary Estimation
3.9.4 Coastal Flood Forecasting
3.9.5 Warning Dissemination and Feedback Technique
3.10 Discussions and Recommendations
References
Chapter 4: Overview of Weather, ENSO, and Climate Scale
4.1 Introduction: The Weather and Climate Scale
4.2 What Is ENSO and IOD
4.2.1 ENSO
4.2.2 Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)
4.3 ENSO Is the Main Triggers of IOD
Preface: Why Are El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-Based Seasonal Forecasts Important in Bangladesh?
Acknowledgments
Contents
About the Author
List of Appendices
List of Figures
List of Tables
Chapter 1: Introduction: Seasonal Flood Potential in Bangladesh
1.1 The Importance of Seasonal Flood Forecasts in Bangladesh
1.2 What Is a Probabilistic Seasonal Forecast?
1.3 What Is ENSO?
1.4 La Niña and Bangladesh Floods?
1.5 What Is the Causal Connection Between La Niña and Seasonal Flooding in Bangladesh?
1.6 How Helpful Are the Seasonal Forecasts in Bangladesh?
1.7 Literature Review
1.8 Book Contents: Chapters
References
Chapter 2: Hydro-Meteorological Variability and Opportunity for Seasonal Forecasts in Bangladesh
2.1 Introduction: Flood Hydrology
2.1.1 Rainfall Patterns
2.1.2 Flood Hydrology
2.1.3 Sources of Floods
2.1.4 Causes of Floods
2.1.5 Occurrence of Floods
2.1.6 Flood Frequency Analysis
2.2 Hydro-Meteorological Variability: Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna Basins
2.2.1 Data, Basic Indices, and Method
2.2.2 Findings
2.3 Conclusions
Appendices
Appendix 1: Result of the Frequency Analysis of Flood-Affected Areas
Appendix 2: Gumbel's Extreme Value Distribution
References
Chapter 3: History of Flood Forecasts and Early Warning in Bangladesh
3.1 Introduction: What Is an Early Warning System?
3.2 History and Growth of EWS in Bangladesh
3.2.1 Indigenous EWS in Bangladesh
3.2.2 Advanced Flood Forecasting and EWS
3.3 The Role of the FFWC and Early Warning Systems in Bangladesh: The Experience of the Catastrophic Flooding in 1998
3.4 Causes of 1998 Flood: La Niña and Rainfall
3.4.1 Water Level Rise in Chandpur
3.4.2 River Stage
3.5 Activities of the Flood Forecasting Center During 1998 Flood
3.5.1 Data Collection and Processing
3.5.2 Meteorological Forecasting and Boundary Estimation
3.6 Flood Forecasting by Numerical Modeling
3.6.1 MIKE-11 Flood Routing Model
3.6.2 Flood Status Mapping
3.7 Flood Warning Dissemination by Daily Bulletin
3.7.1 Comprehensive Flood Perspectives
3.8 Evaluation of Flood Forecasting in Bangladesh
3.8.1 Data Source and Methodology
3.8.2 Performance Evaluation of Boundary Estimates
3.8.3 Performance Evaluation of Flood Forecasting
3.8.4 Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts
3.8.5 Boundary Estimation
3.9 Scopes of Improvements
3.9.1 Precipitation Forecasts
3.9.2 Non-tidal Boundary Estimation
3.9.3 Tidal Boundary Estimation
3.9.4 Coastal Flood Forecasting
3.9.5 Warning Dissemination and Feedback Technique
3.10 Discussions and Recommendations
References
Chapter 4: Overview of Weather, ENSO, and Climate Scale
4.1 Introduction: The Weather and Climate Scale
4.2 What Is ENSO and IOD
4.2.1 ENSO
4.2.2 Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)
4.3 ENSO Is the Main Triggers of IOD