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Intro
Preface
Acknowledgements
Contents
List of Figures
List of Tables
1 Introduction
1.1 Introduction
References
2 Mortality Trends and Projection Models in Japan
2.1 Trends in Life Expectancy (e0)
2.2 Causes of Increases in Life Expectancy
2.2.1 Epidemiologic Transition Theory
2.2.2 Causes of Deaths
2.3 Modeling the Age Patterns of Mortality
2.3.1 Mathematical Representations
2.3.2 Tabular Representations
2.3.3 Relational Models
2.4 Review of the Official Mortality Projection for Japan

2.5 The Lee-Carter (LC) Model and Its Application to Japan
References
3 Data and Methods
3.1 Data
3.2 Methods
3.2.1 Formulation of the Decline- And Shift-Type Models
3.3 Descriptions of the Decline- And Shift-Type Models
3.3.1 Decline-Type Mortality Models
3.3.2 Shift-Type Mortality Models
3.3.3 The Linear Difference (LD) Model
3.4 Methods for Parameter Estimations
References
4 The LD Model
4.1 Fitting the Mortality Models
4.1.1 Fitting Decline-Type Mortality Models
4.1.2 Fitting Shift-Type Mortality Models

4.2 Comparison of the Models from a Statistical Viewpoint
Reference
5 Tangent Vector Field Approach to Mortality Projection
5.1 Tangent Vector Field (TVF) Approach to Mortality Projection
5.1.1 Building an Entire Age Model Using TVFs
5.1.2 Application to Mortality Projection in Japan
References
6 Application to Analysis of the Trends in Modal Age at Death
6.1 Decomposition of the Change in Modal Age at Death Using the LD Model
6.2 Decomposition of the Change in the Modal Age at Death by Cause of Death
6.3 Application of the Decomposition to Japanese Mortality

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