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Table of Contents
Intro
Preface
Contents
Part I: Theories of Family Dynamics
Chapter 1: Introduction and Theoretical Overview
1.1 A Theoretical Overview
1.1.1 The Proposed Explanations
1.1.2 A New Explanatory Framework
1.1.2.1 Economic Change
1.1.2.2 Ideological/Attitudinal Change
1.1.2.3 Demographic Change
1.1.2.4 The Rise of Gender Competition
1.1.2.5 The Fall in the Social Capital Value of Children and Marriage
1.1.2.6 The Second Demographic Transition
1.1.2.7 A Recapitulation and Some Thoughts About the Future
1.2 The Contributions of Future Chapters
3.7 Cross-Sectional Versus Longitudinal
3.8 Measurement
3.9 Toward a Demography of Kinship
References
Chapter 4: Delayed Fertility as a Driver of Fertility Decline?
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Recent Trends in Early, Late, and Completed Fertility in Low Fertility Countries
4.2.1 The Mean Age at First Birth Has Increased
4.2.2 Large Cross-Country Differences with Regard to Later Fertility
4.2.3 Fertility Delay or Postponement?
4.3 Does Fertility Delay Cause Fertility Decline?
4.4 Evidence Suggests That an Increasing Number of People Are Experiencing Constraints to Childbearing in Later Reproductive L...
4.4.1 Many People in Their Late 30s and 40s Would Still Like to Start or Expand Their Family
4.4.2 Medically-Assisted Reproduction Has Increased Particularly Among Older Age Groups
4.4.3 Behavior Becomes More Conducive to Childbearing as People Near the End of Their Reproductive Window
4.5 Changes in Partnership Dynamics Have Contributed to Fertility Decline
4.6 Some Implications of Fertility Delay for Future Completed Fertility
4.6.1 Access to MAR Will Increasingly Contribute to Completed Fertility
4.6.2 Life Conditions in the 30s and Early 40s Will Become More Relevant
4.6.3 The Effect of Further Delay on Completed Fertility Will Depend on the Country
4.7 Conclusions and Outlook
References
Part II: Methodological Analyses of Transforming Families
Chapter 5: Cohort Effects on Fertility as Age-Period Interactions: A Reanalysis of American Birth Rates, 1917-2020
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Modeling Age, Period, and Age by Period Interaction Effects
5.2.1 An Exploratory Analysis
Preface
Contents
Part I: Theories of Family Dynamics
Chapter 1: Introduction and Theoretical Overview
1.1 A Theoretical Overview
1.1.1 The Proposed Explanations
1.1.2 A New Explanatory Framework
1.1.2.1 Economic Change
1.1.2.2 Ideological/Attitudinal Change
1.1.2.3 Demographic Change
1.1.2.4 The Rise of Gender Competition
1.1.2.5 The Fall in the Social Capital Value of Children and Marriage
1.1.2.6 The Second Demographic Transition
1.1.2.7 A Recapitulation and Some Thoughts About the Future
1.2 The Contributions of Future Chapters
3.7 Cross-Sectional Versus Longitudinal
3.8 Measurement
3.9 Toward a Demography of Kinship
References
Chapter 4: Delayed Fertility as a Driver of Fertility Decline?
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Recent Trends in Early, Late, and Completed Fertility in Low Fertility Countries
4.2.1 The Mean Age at First Birth Has Increased
4.2.2 Large Cross-Country Differences with Regard to Later Fertility
4.2.3 Fertility Delay or Postponement?
4.3 Does Fertility Delay Cause Fertility Decline?
4.4 Evidence Suggests That an Increasing Number of People Are Experiencing Constraints to Childbearing in Later Reproductive L...
4.4.1 Many People in Their Late 30s and 40s Would Still Like to Start or Expand Their Family
4.4.2 Medically-Assisted Reproduction Has Increased Particularly Among Older Age Groups
4.4.3 Behavior Becomes More Conducive to Childbearing as People Near the End of Their Reproductive Window
4.5 Changes in Partnership Dynamics Have Contributed to Fertility Decline
4.6 Some Implications of Fertility Delay for Future Completed Fertility
4.6.1 Access to MAR Will Increasingly Contribute to Completed Fertility
4.6.2 Life Conditions in the 30s and Early 40s Will Become More Relevant
4.6.3 The Effect of Further Delay on Completed Fertility Will Depend on the Country
4.7 Conclusions and Outlook
References
Part II: Methodological Analyses of Transforming Families
Chapter 5: Cohort Effects on Fertility as Age-Period Interactions: A Reanalysis of American Birth Rates, 1917-2020
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Modeling Age, Period, and Age by Period Interaction Effects
5.2.1 An Exploratory Analysis