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Table of Contents
Intro
Acknowledgments
Contents
Part I About the Computable General Equilibrium Modelling
1 Computable General Equilibrium Modelling: History, Contribution and What You Can Learn from This Book
1.1 What is a CGE Model?
1.2 CGE Versus Input-output
1.3 About This Book
1.4 Concluding Remarks
References
Part II CHINAGEM Model and Its Simulation Modes
2 Introduction of the CHINAGEM Model
2.1 Introduction
2.2 The Application of CHINAGEM
2.3 The Extension of CHINAGEM
2.4 Study of CHINAGEM
References
3 Structure of the CHINAGEM Database
3.1 Structure of the CHINAGEM Database
3.2 Generating Data and Initial Solutions for Other years
Reference
4 Equations and Solution Method of CHINAGEM
4.1 Overview of the Mathematical Structure of CHINAGEM and Introduction to the Johansen/Euler Solution Method
4.2 Stylised Version of the CHINAGEM Model
4.2.1 Equations in the Stylized Version
4.2.2 A Trial Closure of the Stylized Version of CHINAGEM
References
5 Closure Development and Historical Simulation from 2012 to 2019
5.1 How to Develop a Closure for Historical Simulation
5.2 Data Sources and Data Consistency Issues
5.3 Historical Simulation Results Analysis
References
6 Closure Development and Forecast Simulation from 2020 to 2030
6.1 How to Form a Closure for Forecast Simulation
6.2 Forecast Simulation and Its Results
Reference
7 Closure Development and Policy Simulation-The Effects of Increasing Required Rate of Return on Capital
7.1 How to Form a Policy Closure
7.2 How to Explain the Policy Simulation Results
7.2.1 The Approach to Understanding the Simulation Results
7.2.2 Using the Closure and the BOTE Models
7.2.3 Explain the Macroeconomic Results of the Policy Simulation-First Year
7.2.4 Explain the Macroeconomic Results of the Policy Simulation-the Following Years
7.2.5 Industry Results
Appendix 7.1 List of Industries and Commodities in 2012 CHINAGEM Aggregated Database
Appendix 7.2 List of Industries and Commodities in 2012 CHINAGEM Original Database
8 Closure Development and Decomposition Simulation from 2012 to 2019
8.1 Historical and Decomposition Closures
8.2 The Decomposition Simulation from 2012 to 2019
8.2.1 Macroeconomic Assumption in the Decomposition Simulation
8.2.2 Decomposition Simulation-Macro Results
8.2.3 Cross-Column Analysis-Growth of China's Economy from 2012 to 2019
8.3 Summary
References
Part III Extensions of the CHINAGEM Model and Their Applications
9 Labour Market Module and Its Application-The Economic Effects of Facilitating the Flow of Rural Workers to Urban Employment in China
9.1 Introduction
9.2 Modelling Framework and Labour Market Module
9.2.1 CHINAGEM Model
9.2.2 Labour Market Module and Labour Market Categories and Activities
9.2.3 The Equation System of the Labour Market Module
9.3 Baseline Scenario
Acknowledgments
Contents
Part I About the Computable General Equilibrium Modelling
1 Computable General Equilibrium Modelling: History, Contribution and What You Can Learn from This Book
1.1 What is a CGE Model?
1.2 CGE Versus Input-output
1.3 About This Book
1.4 Concluding Remarks
References
Part II CHINAGEM Model and Its Simulation Modes
2 Introduction of the CHINAGEM Model
2.1 Introduction
2.2 The Application of CHINAGEM
2.3 The Extension of CHINAGEM
2.4 Study of CHINAGEM
References
3 Structure of the CHINAGEM Database
3.1 Structure of the CHINAGEM Database
3.2 Generating Data and Initial Solutions for Other years
Reference
4 Equations and Solution Method of CHINAGEM
4.1 Overview of the Mathematical Structure of CHINAGEM and Introduction to the Johansen/Euler Solution Method
4.2 Stylised Version of the CHINAGEM Model
4.2.1 Equations in the Stylized Version
4.2.2 A Trial Closure of the Stylized Version of CHINAGEM
References
5 Closure Development and Historical Simulation from 2012 to 2019
5.1 How to Develop a Closure for Historical Simulation
5.2 Data Sources and Data Consistency Issues
5.3 Historical Simulation Results Analysis
References
6 Closure Development and Forecast Simulation from 2020 to 2030
6.1 How to Form a Closure for Forecast Simulation
6.2 Forecast Simulation and Its Results
Reference
7 Closure Development and Policy Simulation-The Effects of Increasing Required Rate of Return on Capital
7.1 How to Form a Policy Closure
7.2 How to Explain the Policy Simulation Results
7.2.1 The Approach to Understanding the Simulation Results
7.2.2 Using the Closure and the BOTE Models
7.2.3 Explain the Macroeconomic Results of the Policy Simulation-First Year
7.2.4 Explain the Macroeconomic Results of the Policy Simulation-the Following Years
7.2.5 Industry Results
Appendix 7.1 List of Industries and Commodities in 2012 CHINAGEM Aggregated Database
Appendix 7.2 List of Industries and Commodities in 2012 CHINAGEM Original Database
8 Closure Development and Decomposition Simulation from 2012 to 2019
8.1 Historical and Decomposition Closures
8.2 The Decomposition Simulation from 2012 to 2019
8.2.1 Macroeconomic Assumption in the Decomposition Simulation
8.2.2 Decomposition Simulation-Macro Results
8.2.3 Cross-Column Analysis-Growth of China's Economy from 2012 to 2019
8.3 Summary
References
Part III Extensions of the CHINAGEM Model and Their Applications
9 Labour Market Module and Its Application-The Economic Effects of Facilitating the Flow of Rural Workers to Urban Employment in China
9.1 Introduction
9.2 Modelling Framework and Labour Market Module
9.2.1 CHINAGEM Model
9.2.2 Labour Market Module and Labour Market Categories and Activities
9.2.3 The Equation System of the Labour Market Module
9.3 Baseline Scenario