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001481262 001__ 1481262
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001481262 019__ $$a1400014112
001481262 020__ $$a9783031349997$$q(electronic bk.)
001481262 020__ $$a3031349997$$q(electronic bk.)
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001481262 0247_ $$a10.1007/978-3-031-34999-7$$2doi
001481262 035__ $$aSP(OCoLC)1401055583
001481262 040__ $$aEBLCP$$beng$$cEBLCP$$dGW5XE$$dYDX
001481262 049__ $$aISEA
001481262 050_4 $$aHD75
001481262 08204 $$a338.9
001481262 24500 $$aReconsidering the limits to growth :$$ba report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome /$$cViktor Sadovnichy,  Askar Akaev, Ilya Ilyin, Sergey Malkov, Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, editors.
001481262 260__ $$aCham :$$bSpringer,$$c2023.
001481262 300__ $$a1 online resource (540 p.).
001481262 4901_ $$aWorld-Systems Evolution and Global Futures
001481262 500__ $$a2 Medium-Term Forecasts (until the 2050-2060s)
001481262 504__ $$aReferences -- Part II: Problems, Forecasts, Solutions (Climate, Ecology, Demography, Aging) -- Climate and Energy: Energy Transition Scenarios and Global Temperature Changes Based on Current Technologies and Trends -- 1 Current Situation -- 2 Possible Scenarios for Further Development of the Situation -- References -- Ecology: Life in the ``Unstable Biosphere ́́-- 1 Current State -- 2 Prospects for Further Change in the Situation -- Appendix: Armed Conflicts and Environment -- References -- Demography: Toward Optimization of Demographic Processes -- 1 Current Situation
001481262 5050_ $$aIntro -- Foreword: On to the Future -- Acknowledgments -- About This Book -- Contents -- Introduction: Hoping for the Future -- References -- Part I: Looking into the Past and the Future -- Macrohistorical Approach -- 1 Macrohistorical Approach: Introduction -- 2 Natural and Climatic Factors -- 3 Technological Subsystem -- 4 Economic Subsystem -- 5 Demographic Subsystem -- 6 Social Subsystem -- 7 Political Subsystem -- References -- The Future Society and the Transition to It -- 1 Perspective and Brief Forecasts -- 2 Preliminary Conclusions -- 3 A Brief Forecast of Future Societal Variations
001481262 5058_ $$a2 Demography as a Factor in World Development -- 2.1 The Impact of Demography on Climate -- 2.2 The Impact of Demography on the Environment -- 2.3 The Impact of Demographics on Technology -- 2.4 The Impact of Demographics on Economy -- 2.5 The Impact of Demography on the Social Sphere -- 2.6 The Impact of Demographics on Politics -- 3 Retrospective Analysis of Changes in the Demographic Sphere in the Historical Perspective (for the Last 8000 years) -- 4 Demographic Development Scenarios -- References
001481262 5058_ $$aGlobal Aging: An Integral Problem of the Future. How to Turn a Problem into a Development Driver? -- 1 Statement of the Problem -- 2 Impact on Socio-economic Development: Challenges and Possible Responses -- 3 Is It Possible to Use the Problem of Aging as a Development Driver? -- References -- Part III: Problems, Forecasts, Solutions (Technology, Economics, Socio-Political Development) -- Technologies: Limitless Possibilities and Effective Control -- 1 Current Situation -- 2 Technology as the Most Important Factor of Historical Development
001481262 5058_ $$a3 Scenarios of Technological Development in the Twenty-First Century -- References -- Economics: Optimizing Growth -- 1 Current Situation -- 2 Prospects for Further Economic Development -- References -- Sociopolitical Transformations: A Difficult Path to Cybernetic Society -- 1 Current Situation -- 2 Cybernetic Society: Super-Technogenic Society of the Elderly -- 3 Cybernetic Society: Options for Sociopolitical Development -- 4 How to Switch to a Favorable Development Scenario -- References -- Future Political Change. Toward a more Efficient World Order -- 1 Short-Term Forecasts (10-15 Years)
001481262 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users.
001481262 520__ $$aEchoing the famous "The Limits to Growth" report from 1972, this edited volume analyses the changes that the World System has undergone to the present, on the fiftieth anniversary of the original report. During the past fifty years, both the concept and understanding of these limits have significantly changed. This book highlights that the evolution of the World System has approached a new critical milestone, moving into a fundamentally new phase of historical development, when the old economic and social technologies no longer work as efficiently as before or even begin to function counterproductively, which leads the World System into a systemic crisis. The book discusses the transition of human society to a new phase state, the shape of which has not yet been determined. New approaches are needed for both, for the analysis of the global situation, and for forecasts. The book is based on an integrated approach including the world-systems, historical and evolutionary perspectives, as well as a systematic view of society, in which changes in one subsystem cause transformations in others. Through mathematical modeling, it defines the main vectors of transformations of the World System; makes a detailed forecast of the development of all the main subsystems of the society and the World System, while presenting horizons of changes from short-term to ultra-long-term; and presents different development scenarios as well as recommendations on how to achieve a transition to the most favorable scenario. The book will appeal to members and followers of the Club of Rome, policy-makers, as well as to scholars from various disciplines interested in a better understanding of the World System evolution, global futures, development studies, climate change, and future societies. .
001481262 588__ $$aOnline resource; title from PDF title page (SpringerLink, viewed October 12, 2023).
001481262 650_0 $$aEconomic development$$xSocial aspects.$$0(DLC)sh 85029061
001481262 650_0 $$aEconomic development$$xEnvironmental aspects.$$0(DLC)sh 85029061
001481262 650_0 $$aPopulation$$xEconomic aspects.$$0(DLC)sh 93001526
001481262 655_0 $$aElectronic books.
001481262 7001_ $$aSadovnichy, Viktor.
001481262 7001_ $$aAkaev, A. A.$$q(Askar Akaevich)
001481262 7001_ $$aIlʹin, I. V.$$q(Ilʹi͡a Vi͡acheslavovich),$$d1973-
001481262 7001_ $$aMalkov, Sergey.
001481262 7001_ $$aGrinin, Leonid.
001481262 7001_ $$aKorotaev, A. V.
001481262 77608 $$iPrint version:$$aSadovnichy, Viktor$$tReconsidering the Limits to Growth$$dCham : Springer International Publishing AG,c2023$$z9783031349980
001481262 830_0 $$aWorld-systems evolution and global futures.
001481262 852__ $$bebk
001481262 85640 $$3Springer Nature$$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=https://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-031-34999-7$$zOnline Access$$91397441.1
001481262 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:1481262$$pGLOBAL_SET
001481262 980__ $$aBIB
001481262 980__ $$aEBOOK
001481262 982__ $$aEbook
001481262 983__ $$aOnline
001481262 994__ $$a92$$bISE