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001489925 1001_ $$aSchady, Norbert.
001489925 24510 $$aCollapse and Recovery :$$bHow the COVID-19 Pandemic Eroded Human Capital and What to Do about It.
001489925 250__ $$a1st ed.
001489925 264_1 $$aWashington, D. C. :$$bWorld Bank Publications,$$c2023.
001489925 264_4 $$c©2023.
001489925 300__ $$a1 online resource (189 pages).
001489925 336__ $$atext$$btxt$$2rdacontent
001489925 337__ $$acomputer$$bc$$2rdamedia
001489925 338__ $$aonline resource$$bcr$$2rdacarrier
001489925 5050_ $$aFront Cover -- Contents -- Foreword -- Acknowledgments -- About the Authors -- Main Messages -- Abbreviations -- Executive Summary -- The pandemic destroyed human capital at critical moments in the life cycle -- Policies to reverse human capital losses -- Building agile, resilient, and adaptive human development systems for future shocks -- A human capital recovery: What will it take? -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 1 A Human Capital Collapse: The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Early Childhood, School-Age Children, and Young Adults -- A pending crisis in productivity could last for multiple generations -- Building human capital requires sustained investments along many dimensions from many sources -- Human capital trajectories are set during childhood, adolescence, and early adulthood -- Shocks like the COVID-19 pandemic decrease both levels of human capital and subsequent rates of accumulation -- Countries have three potential paths following the pandemic: A permanently lower trajectory, partial recovery, or complete recovery -- Choices today matter: Governments can change their recovery paths -- The time window for addressing setbacks in human capital accumulation is short -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 2 Poor Start: The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Early Childhood Development and Subsequent Human Capital Accumulation -- Shocks occurring during early childhood can persist for decades-and even across generations -- The pandemic reduced critical investments in young children -- Children's development slowed during lockdowns -- These early setbacks will have long-lasting ramifications for human capital accumulation, earnings, and economic growth -- How can policy get young children back on track? -- Using the pandemic to prioritize investments in children -- Notes -- References.
001489925 5058_ $$aChapter 3 Learning Losses and Dropouts: The Heavy Cost COVID-19 Imposed on School-Age Children -- Schooling generates enormous returns for people and societies -- The COVID-19 pandemic led to shockingly long school closures -- How have governments responded to the pandemic so far? -- What should governments do now? Prioritize effective action -- Inaction is also a decision (a poor one) -- Annex 3A. Methodology for estimating lost Learning-Adjusted Years of Schooling (LAYS) -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 4 Lost Opportunities: The Protracted Effects of the Pandemic on Youth and Young Adults -- Youth is a critical moment in the life cycle -- The pandemic led to a sharp reduction and an uneven recovery in employment globally -- Youth employment and wages fell sharply and have recovered in some countries but not in others -- Declines in youth employment were not fully made up by increases in school attendance -- Beyond employment and schooling: Other adverse effects of the pandemic on youth -- How have governments responded so far to the pandemic-related losses in young people's human capital? -- What should governments do now? -- Putting it all together -- Annex 4A. Methodology to calculate changes in employment (and other outcomes) that can be attributed to the pandemic -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 5 Recovery and Resilience: From Human Development Programs to Systems -- A moment of reflection -- What are the critical components of an HD system that can respond to systemic shocks? -- How did HD systems fare during the pandemic? -- Building agile, resilient, and adaptive HD systems -- The path forward -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 6 Human Capital: What Will It Take? -- Losses in human capital have been deep and pervasive -- The pandemic revealed systemic weaknesses in providing integrated solutions.
001489925 5058_ $$aHuman capital losses from the pandemic threaten the productivity of multiple generations -- Recovery and resilience require immediate investment-they are not automatic -- How can countries prioritize recovery strategies when fiscal space is tight? -- The path to recovery -- Notes -- References -- Boxes -- Box 1.1 How does the death toll of the COVID-19 pandemic affect human capital? -- Box 2.1 What past shocks reveal about what can be expected during and immediately after a crisis -- Box 2.2 Identifying impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the utilization of maternal health services -- Box 2.3 Changes in the composition of patients versus changes in underlying health -- Box 2.4 Using predictions to deal with trends when estimating impacts of the pandemic -- Box 2.5 Measuring changes in skills due to the pandemic -- Box 3.1 Decomposing learning losses in forgone and forgotten learning using rich data from Bangladesh -- Box 3.2 The length of school closures is not correlated with country income or governance quality -- Box 4.1 How labor market scarring works -- Box 4.2 How wage subsidies in response to the pandemic differed by country income -- Box 4.3 Brazil's measures for both informal workers at risk of poverty and low-wage formal workers -- Box 5.1 Relying on prior investments to confront future crises better -- Box 5.2 How countries expanded their social protection programs during the COVID-19 pandemic -- Box 5.3 Leveraging the private sector and local partners to make the pandemic response more effective -- Box 5.4 The urgent need to strengthen human development systems to prepare for future pandemics -- Box 5.5 Togo's use of technology to extend support to vulnerable populations during the COVID-19 pandemic -- Box 6.1 Transitions between stages of the life cycle are critical moments -- Figures.
001489925 5058_ $$aFigure ES.1 The pandemic led to steep losses in early childhood development and early learning in very young children in Bangladesh and Brazil -- Figure ES.2 During the pandemic, each month of school closures led to one month of learning losses, and more so in countries with lower GDP per capita -- Figure ES.3 Youth employment fell in most countries during the pandemic -- Figure ES.4 Declines in employment of young people during the pandemic were not offset by increases in schooling or training -- Figure ES.5 What are the paths to recovery? -- Figure 1.1 Human capital accumulates over the life cycle -- Figure 1.2 Human capital setbacks that occur at early ages can impair the entire trajectory of accumulation and lower future stocks of human capital -- Figure 1.3 Making a full recovery requires increasing the rate of human capital accumulation compared to trajectories before the pandemic -- Figure 2.1 The share of households and children who had to skip meals or eat smaller portions increased during early lockdowns in some countries -- Figure 2.2 In low-income countries, women and infants lacked critical services during the early pandemic period -- Figure 2.3 By 2021, coverage of essential childhood vaccines had yet to recover fully in many regions from its decline during lockdowns -- Figure 2.4 Pre-primary attendance has not recovered from the pandemic in many countries -- Figure 2.5 Mothers' mental health declined during early lockdowns in rural Colombia and rural Bangladesh, compared with levels in 2019 -- Figure 2.6 The pandemic induced large declines in cognitive and motor development among toddlers in rural Bangladesh, with larger effects on children whose mothers had less education -- Figure 2.7 Children in preschool lost skills in language and math in Brazil, Chile, Rwanda, and Uruguay.
001489925 5058_ $$aFigure 2.8 After the pandemic, learning of preschool-age children lagged behind pre-pandemic learning in Sobral, Brazil -- Figure 3.1 Globally, an average school-age child lost about one year of in-person schooling -- Figure 3.2 COVID-19 school closures had limited impacts on dropouts in middle-income countries but negative impacts in lower-income countries -- Figure 3.3 Dropout rates are higher for households with low education levels -- Figure 3.4 For 30 days of school closures, students lost 34 days of learning -- Figure 3.5 Learning losses were higher in countries with lower GDP per capita after controlling for length of school closures -- Figure 3.6 Regions vary in the Learning-Adjusted Years of Schooling (LAYS) they lost due to the pandemic -- Figure 3.7 Countries that had similar Learning-Adjusted Years of Schooling (LAYS) before the pandemic had vastly different experiences with learning losses -- Figure 3.8 Countries not losing many total Learning-Adjusted Years of Schooling (LAYS) may have lost much in terms of pre-pandemic shares of LAYS (and vice versa) -- Figure 3.9 Approximately 30 percent of learning losses in Bangladesh were forgotten learning -- Figure B3.2.1 There is no systematic relationship between the length of school closures and log GDP per capita and an indicator of governance effectiveness -- Figure 4.1 Worldwide, employment fell sharply during the pandemic -- Figure 4.2 Youth employment declined sharply during the pandemic -- Figure 4.3 In many countries, the employment losses of youth during the pandemic were compounded by declines in wages -- Figure B4.1.1 Three scenarios show how short-term employment losses can affect a young person's future wages -- Figure 4.4 School enrollment increased in some countries and declined in others during the pandemic.
001489925 5058_ $$aFigure 4.5 The share of youth who were Not in Education, Employment, or Training (NEETs) increased sharply in some countries during the pandemic.
001489925 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users.
001489925 588__ $$aDescription based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.
001489925 655_0 $$aElectronic books
001489925 7001_ $$aHolla, Alaka.
001489925 7001_ $$aSabarwal, Shwetlena.
001489925 7001_ $$aSilva, Joana.
001489925 77608 $$iPrint version:$$aSchady, Norbert$$tCollapse and Recovery$$dWashington, D. C. : World Bank Publications,c2023$$z9781464819018
001489925 852__ $$bebk
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