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How to forecast terrorism : step-by-step explanation of methodology
Phase I : define/validate key elements of the intelligence problem
Phase II : consolidate information
Phase III : sort information
Phase IV : draw conclusions
Phase V : focus collectors on gaps in intelligence to refine/update conclusions
Phase VI : communicate conclusions/give warning
Key points to remember
Staffing plan
The acid test : evaluation of methodology
Recommendations for implementation.
Phase I : define/validate key elements of the intelligence problem
Phase II : consolidate information
Phase III : sort information
Phase IV : draw conclusions
Phase V : focus collectors on gaps in intelligence to refine/update conclusions
Phase VI : communicate conclusions/give warning
Key points to remember
Staffing plan
The acid test : evaluation of methodology
Recommendations for implementation.