@article{318511,
      note = {"An American Interest Book."},
      author = {Fukuyama, Francis.},
      url = {http://library.usi.edu/record/318511},
      title = {Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild  cards in global politics /},
      publisher = {Brookings Institution Press,},
      abstract = {"Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and  manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and  institutional obstacles preventing planning for  low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary  resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and  personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and  examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting.  Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in  various sectors"--Provided by publisher.},
      recid = {318511},
      pages = {vi, 198 p. ;},
      address = {Washington, D.C. :},
      year = {2007},
}