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000318833 010__ $$a  2006051093
000318833 020__ $$a9781400063512 (alk. paper)
000318833 020__ $$a1400063515 (alk. paper)
000318833 035__ $$a(OCoLC)ocm71833470
000318833 035__ $$a318833
000318833 040__ $$aDLC$$cDLC$$dBAKER$$dBTCTA$$dGK8$$dOCO$$dC#P$$dIXA$$dYDXCP$$dVP@$$dJQQ$$dHNW$$dTTQ$$dDMZ
000318833 049__ $$aISEA
000318833 05000 $$aQ375$$b.T35 2007
000318833 08200 $$a003/.54$$222
000318833 1001_ $$aTaleb, Nassim Nicholas,$$d1960-
000318833 24514 $$aThe black swan :$$bthe impact of the highly improbable /$$cNassim Nicholas Taleb.
000318833 250__ $$a1st ed.
000318833 260__ $$aNew York :$$bRandom House,$$cc2007.
000318833 300__ $$axxviii, 366 p. :$$bill. ;$$c25 cm.
000318833 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references (p. [331]-358) and index.
000318833 5050_ $$aUmberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans.
000318833 650_0 $$aUncertainty (Information theory)$$xSocial aspects.
000318833 650_0 $$aForecasting.
000318833 85200 $$bgen$$hQ375$$i.T35$$i2007
000318833 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:318833$$pGLOBAL_SET
000318833 980__ $$aBIB
000318833 980__ $$aBOOK
000318833 994__ $$aC0$$bISE