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000354325 010__ $$z  2010048289
000354325 020__ $$a9780465023356$$q(electronic book)
000354325 020__ $$z9780465021024
000354325 020__ $$z0465021026
000354325 035__ $$a(OCoLC)ocn715163610
000354325 035__ $$a(MiAaPQ)EBC665789
000354325 035__ $$a(CaPaEBR)ebr10450926
000354325 040__ $$aCaPaEBR$$cCaPaEBR
000354325 05014 $$aHV675$$b.F49 2011eb
000354325 1001_ $$aFisher, Len.
000354325 24510 $$aCrashes, crises, and calamities$$h[electronic resource] :$$bhow we can use science to read the early-warning signs /$$cLen Fisher.
000354325 260__ $$aNew York :$$bBasic Books,$$c2011.
000354325 300__ $$a1 online resource (xviii, 233 p.) :$$bill.
000354325 500__ $$aDescription based on print version record.
000354325 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
000354325 5050_ $$aPt. 1. A potted pre-history of prognostication. Do animals have crystal balls? -- The future eclipsed -- Galileo's hell -- Pt. 2. How disasters happen. The stress of it all -- Runaway disaster -- The balance of nature and the nature of balance -- Pt. 3. Imminent catastrophes : reading the signs. The chaotic ecology of dragons -- Teetering on the brink of catastrophe -- Models and supermodels -- Beware of mathematicians -- Weak signals as major early-warning signs -- Summary : The future of forecasting.
000354325 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users.
000354325 520__ $$aDrawing on ecology and biology, math and physics, the author offers four fundamental tools that scientists and engineers use to forecast the likelihood of sudden change: stability, catastrophe, complexity, and game theories.
000354325 650_0 $$aAccidents$$xPrevention.
000354325 650_0 $$aNatural disasters$$xForecasting.
000354325 650_0 $$aScience$$xHistory.
000354325 650_0 $$aScience$$xSocial aspects.
000354325 650_0 $$aScientists.
000354325 77608 $$iPrint version:$$aFisher, Len.$$tCrashes, crises, and calamities.$$dNew York : Basic Books, 2011$$z9780465021024$$w(DLC) 2010048289$$w(OCoLC)657595615
000354325 8520_ $$bacq
000354325 85280 $$bebk$$hProQuest Ebook Central
000354325 85640 $$3ProQuest Ebook Central$$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/usiricelib-ebooks/detail.action?docID=665789$$zOnline Access
000354325 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:354325$$pGLOBAL_SET
000354325 980__ $$aEBOOK
000354325 980__ $$aBIB
000354325 982__ $$aEbook
000354325 983__ $$aOnline