TY - GEN N2 - "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher. AB - "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher. T1 - Blindsidehow to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / DA - c2007. CY - Washington, D.C. : AU - Fukuyama, Francis. CN - Proquest Ebook Central Academic Complete CN - HV551.3 PB - Brookings Institution Press, PP - Washington, D.C. : PY - c2007. N1 - "An American Interest Book." ID - 392151 KW - Emergency management KW - International relations. TI - Blindsidehow to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / LK - https://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=http://site.ebrary.com/lib/usiricelib/Doc?id=10193747 UR - https://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=http://site.ebrary.com/lib/usiricelib/Doc?id=10193747 ER -