Blindside [electronic resource] : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / Francis Fukuyama, editor.
Fukuyama, Francis.
2007
HV551.3 .B57 2007eb
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Title Blindside [electronic resource] : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / Francis Fukuyama, editor.
ISBN 9780815729907 (cloth : alk. paper)
0815729901 (cloth : alk. paper)
Imprint Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press, c2007.
Language English
Description vi, 198 p. ; 24 cm.
Call Number HV551.3 .B57 2007eb
Dewey Decimal Classification 363.34/7
Summary "Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors"--Provided by publisher.
Note "An American Interest Book."
Bibliography, etc. Note Includes bibliographical references (p. [173]-182) and index.
Access Note Access limited to authorized users.
Added Author Fukuyama, Francis.
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Record Appears in Online Resources > Ebooks
All Resources
The challenges of uncertainty: an introduction / Francis Fukuyama
Thinking about catastrophe / Richard A. Posner
Cases: looking back
Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy / David Landes
U.S. intelligence estimates of Soviet collapse: reality and perception / Bruce Berkowitz
Econoshocks: the East Asian crisis case / David Hale
Cases: looking ahead
The once and future DARPA / William Bonvillian
Fueled again? In search of energy security / Gal Luft and Anne Korin
Emerging infectious diseases: are we prepared? / Scott Barrett
Forecasting
Ahead of the curve: anticipating strategic surprise / Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall
Can scenarios help policymakers be both bold and careful? / Robert Lempert
Innovation and adaptation: IT examples / Mitchell Waldrop
What could be
Cassandra vs. Pollyanna : a debate between James Kurth and Gregg Easterbrook
Global discontinuities : a discussion with Owen Harries, Itamar Rabinovich, Niall Ferguson, and Scott Barrett
American scenarios
A discussion with Walter Russell Mead, Eliot Cohen, Anne Applebaum, Ruth Wedgwood, Bernard-Henry Levy, Peter Schwartz, Josef Joffe, and Francis Fukuyama
Afterword / Francis Fukuyama
Contributors
Index.

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