000431000 000__ 03071cam\a2200397\a\4500 000431000 001__ 431000 000431000 005__ 20210513151146.0 000431000 006__ m\\\\\\\\u\\\\\\\\ 000431000 007__ cr\cn||||||||| 000431000 008__ 090908s2008\\\\dcua\\\\sb\\\\000\0\eng\d 000431000 010__ $$z 2009280850 000431000 020__ $$z030911568X 000431000 020__ $$z9780309115681 000431000 035__ $$a(CaPaEBR)ebr10495451 000431000 035__ $$a(OCoLC)759159834 000431000 040__ $$aCaPaEBR$$cCaPaEBR 000431000 043__ $$an-us--- 000431000 05014 $$aQC981$$b.N38 2008eb 000431000 1102_ $$aNational Research Council (U.S.) 000431000 24510 $$aReview of CCSP draft synthesis and assessment product 5.3$$h[electronic resource] :$$bdecison-support experiments and evaluations using seasonal to interannual forecasts and observational data : panel to review CCSP draft synthesis and assessment product 5.3 : decision-support experiments and evaluations using seasonal to interannual forecasts and observational data /$$cNational Research Council of the National Academies. 000431000 260__ $$aWashington, D.C. :$$bNational Academies Press,$$cc2008. 000431000 300__ $$aix, 46 p. :$$bill. 000431000 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 40-42). 000431000 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users. 000431000 520__ $$aThis study offered an independent peer review for a synthetic document being produced for the CCSP. It found the draft document to be in a fairly early stage of development and noted several issues needing attention in the revision. The draft was inconsistent across sections with respect to whether or not it accepted two assumptions: that more skillful forecasts necessarily have greater value, and that the most useful form of information is a projected future value of an outcome parameter with an uncertainty distribution. Available scientific evidence gives reason to question these assumptions, and the draft did not discuss the evidence. Among other issues needing attention, the review called for the revised draft to do more to substantiate its claims of the potential benefits of knowledge-action networks and to give more careful consideration to the appropriate balance of roles between governmental and private efforts. 000431000 650_0 $$aClimatology$$xResearch$$zUnited States$$xEvaluation. 000431000 650_0 $$aClimatic changes$$xRisk assessment. 000431000 650_0 $$aAtmospheric carbon dioxide$$xEnvironmental aspects. 000431000 655_0 $$aElectronic books. 000431000 7102_ $$aNational Research Council (U.S.).$$bPanel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data. 000431000 7102_ $$aNational Research Council (U.S.).$$bCommittee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change. 000431000 7102_ $$aNational Research Council (U.S.).$$bCenter for Economic, Governance, and International Studies. 000431000 7102_ $$aNational Research Council (U.S.).$$bDivision of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education. 000431000 852__ $$bebk 000431000 85640 $$3ProQuest Ebook Central Academic Complete$$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=http://site.ebrary.com/lib/usiricelib/Doc?id=10495451$$zOnline Access 000431000 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:431000$$pGLOBAL_SET 000431000 980__ $$aEBOOK 000431000 980__ $$aBIB 000431000 982__ $$aEbook 000431000 983__ $$aOnline