000432099 000__ 02148nam\a2200493\a\4500 000432099 001__ 432099 000432099 003__ MiAaPQ 000432099 005__ 20211102003735.0 000432099 006__ m\\\\\o\\d\\\\\\\\ 000432099 007__ cr\cn\nnnunnun 000432099 008__ 091015s2010\\\\nyua\\\\ob\\\\001\0\eng\d 000432099 010__ $$z 2009041215 000432099 020__ $$z9780231150484 (cloth : alk. paper) 000432099 020__ $$z0231150482 (cloth : alk. paper) 000432099 020__ $$a9780231521673 (electronic bk.) 000432099 020__ $$a0231521677 (electronic bk.) 000432099 035__ $$a(MiAaPQ)EBC908205 000432099 035__ $$a(Au-PeEL)EBL908205 000432099 035__ $$a(CaPaEBR)ebr10419632 000432099 035__ $$a(CaONFJC)MIL279661 000432099 035__ $$a(OCoLC)716238658 000432099 040__ $$aMiAaPQ$$cMiAaPQ$$dMiAaPQ 000432099 050_4 $$aHG4529$$b.P67 2010 000432099 08204 $$a332.63/2042$$222 000432099 1001_ $$aPosner, Kenneth A. 000432099 24510 $$aStalking the black swan:$$bresearch and decision making in a world of extreme volatility /$$cKenneth A. Posner. 000432099 260__ $$aNew York :$$bColumbia Business School Publishing,$$cc2010. 000432099 300__ $$axv, 267 p. :$$bill. 000432099 336__ $$atext$$2rdacontent 000432099 337__ $$acomputer$$2rdamedia 000432099 338__ $$aonline resource$$2rdacarrier 000432099 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 000432099 5050_ $$aForecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment. 000432099 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users. 000432099 650_0 $$aInvestment analysis. 000432099 650_0 $$aInvestments$$xForecasting. 000432099 650_0 $$aBusiness cycles. 000432099 650_0 $$aRecessions. 000432099 655_0 $$aElectronic books 000432099 852__ $$bebk 000432099 85640 $$3ProQuest Ebook Central Academic Complete $$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/usiricelib-ebooks/detail.action?docID=908205$$zOnline Access 000432099 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:432099$$pGLOBAL_SET 000432099 980__ $$aBIB 000432099 980__ $$aEBOOK 000432099 982__ $$aEbook 000432099 983__ $$aOnline