Living with risk
The alpha and the omega of risk the significance of mortality
Into the unknown modeling uncertainty
The shapes of things to come probabilities and parameters
The value of experience independence and estimation
It's all in your head bayesian decision making
The realm of insurance
Aloofness and quasi-aloofness defining insurance risks
Trustworthy transfer; probable pooling financing insurance risks
God-awful guessing and bad behavior solvency and underwriting
The good, the bad, the role of risk classification
And the lawyerly liability and government compensation
Scientific challenges
What is randomness? knowable and unknowable complexity
Patterns, real and imagined observation and theory
False choices and black boxes the costs of limited data
Nullifying the dull hypothesis conventional versus personalized science
Games and the mind modeling human behavior.