Introduction: The Challenges of Prevention; C. De Franco & C.O. Meyer
PART I: FORECASTING HARM
The Coastline of The Future: Some Limits on Forecasting and Prediction; D. Omand
Epistemology of Forecasting in International Relations: Knowing the Difference between 'Intelligence Failure' and 'Warning Failure'; J. Goldman
Foresec: Lessons Learnt from a Pan-European Security Foresight Project; V. Brummer, C. Burnley, H. Carlsen, A. Duta, B. Giegerich & R. Magoni
Modelling Transnational Environmental Risks: Scenarios for Decision Support; F. Wagner
Risk, Uncertainty and the Assessment of Organised Crime; T. Van Der Beken
PART II: COMMUNICATING AND LEARNING FROM WARNINGS
Mediatised Warnings: Late, Wrong, Yet Indispensable? Lessons from Climate Change and Civil War; C. De Franco & C.O. Meyer
Do They Listen? Communicating Warnings: An Intelligence Practitioners Perspective; W. Shapcott
Responding to early flood warnings in the European Union; D. Demeritt & S. Nobert
Dark Secrets: Face-Work, Organizational Culture and Disaster Prevention; M.S. Gerstein & E.H. Schein
PART III: RESPONDING TO WARNINGS
Transnational Risk Management: A Business Perspective; C. Crossin & J. Smither
From the 'Neurotic' to the 'Rationalising' State: Risk and the Limits of Governance; H. Rothstein, O. Borraz & M. Huber
Ilos and Silences: The Role of Fragmentation in the Recent Financial Crisis; G. Tett
Forecasting, Warning and Preventive Policy: The Case of Finance; T.F. Huertas
Prospective Sense-Making: A Realistic Approach to 'Foresight for Prevention' in an Age of Complex Threats; W.H. Fishbein
Conclusion: New Perspectives for Theorising and Addressing Transnational Risks; C.O. Meyer & C. De Franco.