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000471146 010__ $$a  2013028130
000471146 019__ $$a837143767$$a859606114
000471146 020__ $$a9781594204814
000471146 020__ $$a1594204810
000471146 035__ $$a(OCoLC)ocn837179768
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000471146 049__ $$aISEA
000471146 05000 $$aHC106.84$$b.G74 2013
000471146 08200 $$a330.973001/12$$223
000471146 1001_ $$aGreenspan, Alan,$$d1926-
000471146 24514 $$aThe map and the territory :$$brisk, human nature, and the future of forecasting /$$cAlan Greenspan.
000471146 264_1 $$aNew York :$$bThe Penguin Press,$$c2013.
000471146 300__ $$a388 pages :$$billustrations ;$$c25 cm
000471146 336__ $$atext$$2rdacontent
000471146 337__ $$aunmediated$$2rdamedia
000471146 338__ $$avolume$$2rdacarrier
000471146 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
000471146 5050_ $$aAnimal spirits -- The crisis begins, intensifies, and abates -- The roots of crisis -- Stock prices and equity stimulus -- Finance and regulation -- Schooner intelligence and then some -- Uncertainty undermines investment -- Productivity : the ultimate measure of economic success -- Productivity and the age of entitlements -- Culture -- The onset of globalization, income inequality, and the rise of the gini and the crony -- Money and inflation -- Buffers -- The bottom line.
000471146 520__ $$aLike all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. No one with any meaningful role in economic decision making in the world saw beforehand the storm for what it was. How had our models so utterly failed us? To answer this question, Alan Greenspan embarked on a rigorous and far-reaching multiyear examination of how Homo economicus predicts the economic future, and how it can predict it better. Economic risk is a fact of life in every realm, from home to business to government at all levels. Whether we're conscious of it or not, we make wagers on the future virtually every day, one way or another. Very often, however, we're steering by out-of-date maps, when we're not driven by factors entirely beyond our conscious control. The Map and the Territory is nothing less than an effort to update our forecasting conceptual grid. It integrates the history of economic prediction, the new work of behavioral economists, and the fruits of the author's own remarkable career to offer a thrillingly lucid and empirically based grounding in what we can know about economic forecasting and what we can't.The book explores how culture is and isn't destiny and probes what we can predict about the world's biggest looming challenges, from debt and the reform of the welfare state to natural disasters in an age of global warming. No map is the territory, but Greenspan's approach, grounded in his trademark rigor, wisdom, and unprecedented context, ensures that this particular map will assist in safe journeys down many different roads, traveled by individuals, businesses, and the state. - Publisher.
000471146 650_0 $$aEconomic forecasting$$zUnited States.
000471146 650_0 $$aFinancial crises$$zUnited States.
000471146 650_0 $$aEconomic forecasting.
000471146 650_0 $$aRisk.
000471146 651_0 $$aUnited States$$xEconomic policy.
000471146 85200 $$bgen$$hHC106.84$$i.G74$$i2013
000471146 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:471146$$pGLOBAL_SET
000471146 980__ $$aBIB
000471146 980__ $$aBOOK