000716960 000__ 04875cam\a2200421\i\4500 000716960 001__ 716960 000716960 005__ 20211111152606.0 000716960 006__ m\\\\\o\\d\\\\\\\\ 000716960 007__ cr\cn\nnnunnun 000716960 008__ 150127t20132013mauad\\\ob\\\\001\0\eng\d 000716960 020__ $$a9780262320085$$qelectronic book 000716960 020__ $$z9780262026918$$qhardcover 000716960 035__ $$a(OCoLC)ocn870646856 000716960 035__ $$a(CaPaEBR)ebr10836474 000716960 035__ $$a716960 000716960 040__ $$aCaPaEBR$$beng$$erda$$epn$$cCaPaEBR 000716960 05014 $$aHD82$$b.I2985 2013eb 000716960 08204 $$a330.9001/12$$223 000716960 24500 $$aIn 100 years$$h[electronic resource] :$$bleading economists predict the future /$$cedited by Ignacio Palacios-Huerta. 000716960 2463_ $$aIn one hundred years 000716960 264_1 $$aCambridge, Massachusetts :$$bMIT Press,$$c[2013] 000716960 264_4 $$c©2013 000716960 300__ $$a1 online resource (211 pages) :$$billustrations 000716960 336__ $$atext$$2rdacontent 000716960 337__ $$acomputer$$2rdamedia 000716960 338__ $$aonline resource$$2rdacarrier 000716960 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 000716960 5050_ $$aAcknowledgments -- The world our grandchildren will inherit / Daron Acemoglu -- Through the darkness to a brighter future / Angus Deaton -- The cone of uncertainty of the 21st century's economic hurricane / Avinash K. Dixit -- Wealth and the self-protection society / Edward L. Glaeser -- Keynes, his grandchildren and ours / Andreu Mas-Colell -- American politics and global progress in the 21st century / John E. Roemer -- In 100 years / Alvin E. Roth -- The risks of the next century and their management / Robert J. Shiller -- Stray thoughts on how it might go / Robert M. Solow -- The geoengineered planet / Martin L. Weitzman -- Notes -- Contributors -- Index. 000716960 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users. 000716960 520__ $$aIn this book, ten prominent economists--including Nobel laureates and several likely laureates--offer their ideas about the world of the twenty-second century. In scenarios that range from the optimistic to the guardedly gloomy, these thinkers consider such topics as the transformation of work and wages, the continuing increase in inequality, the economic rise of China and India, the endlessly repeating cycle of crisis and (projected) recovery, the benefits of technology, the economic consequences of political extremism, and the long-range effects of climate change. 000716960 520__ $$a"This pithy and engaging volume shows that economists may be better equipped to predict the future than science fiction writers. Economists' ideas, based on both theory and practice, reflect their knowledge of the laws of human interactions as well as years of experimentation and reflection. Although perhaps not as screenplay-ready as a work of fiction, these economists' predictions are ready for their close-ups. In this book, ten prominent economists -- including Nobel laureates and several likely laureates -- offer their ideas about the world of the twenty-second century. In scenarios that range from the optimistic to the guardedly gloomy, these thinkers consider such topics as the transformation of work and wages, the continuing increase in inequality, the economic rise of China and India, the endlessly repeating cycle of crisis and (projected) recovery, the benefits of technology, the economic consequences of political extremism, and the long-range effects of climate change. For example, Daron Acemoglu offers a thoughtful discussion of how trends of the last century -- including uneven growth, technological integration, and resource scarcity -- might translate into the next; 2013 Nobelist Robert Shiller provides an innovative view of future risk management methods using information technology; 2012 Nobelist Alvin Roth projects his theory of Matching Markets into the next century, focusing on schools, jobs, marriage and family, and medicine; 1987 Nobelist Robert Solow considers the shift away from remunerated labor, among other subjects; and Martin Weitzman raises the intriguing but alarming possibility of using geoengineering techniques to mitigate the nevitable effects of climate change. In a 1930 essay mentioned by several contributors, "Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren," John Maynard Keynes offered predictions that, read today, range from absolutely correct to spectacularly wrong. This book follows in Keynes's path, hoping, perhaps, to better his average." -- Publisher's description. 000716960 588__ $$aDescription based on print version record. 000716960 650_0 $$aEconomic development$$xForecasting. 000716960 7001_ $$aPalacios-Huerta, Ignacio. 000716960 77608 $$iPrint version:$$tIn 100 years.$$dCambridge, Massachusetts : MIT Press, [2013]$$z9780262026918$$w(DLC) 2013025303$$w(OCoLC)852681920 000716960 8520_ $$bacq 000716960 85280 $$bebk$$hEbrary 000716960 85640 $$3ProQuest Ebook Central$$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/usiricelib-ebooks/detail.action?docID=3339741$$zOnline Access 000716960 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:716960$$pGLOBAL_SET 000716960 980__ $$aEBOOK 000716960 980__ $$aBIB 000716960 982__ $$aEbook 000716960 983__ $$aOnline