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Table of Contents
Part I. The mechanism : Perception as causal inference : Constraints on perceptual inference ; Perception and Bayes' rule ; Perceptual inference and binocular rivalry ; How do neurons know Bayes? ; From inference to phenomenology ; A hierarchy of causal regularities ; Perceptual variance and invariance ; Message passing between hierarchical levels ; Additional constraints on hierarchical inference ; On Bayes' rule ; Summary: Hierarchical neuronal inferential mechanisms
Prediction error minimization : A statistical illustration ; Reconceiving the relation to the world ; Being supervised by the world ; A deeper perspective ; Recognition and model inversion ; Summary: Perception in prediction
Prediction error, context, and precision : Context and uncertainty ; Plugging the leaky dam ; Expected precisions ; Precisions and prediction error gain ; The basic mechanism: matters arising ; Summary: Passive perceivers?
Action and expected experience : Active inference in perception ; Modelling the agent, and acting ; Bounding surprise ; Active inference: matters arising ; Prediction error minimization: challenges ; Summary: Tooling up for understanding the mind
Part II. The world : Binding is inference : The binding problem and causal inference ; Initial pleas for the Bayesian story ; From common cause to sensory binding ; Binding, attention, and precision ; Summary: Binding in error minimization
Is predicting seeing? : Cognitive penetrability: initial moves ; Cognitive penetrability under mounting uncertainty ; Making room for cognitive impenetrability ; Possible cases of cognitive penetrability ; Summary: A balanced notion of cognitive penetrability
Precarious prediction : Trading off perception and misperception ; Accuracy and noise ; Precisions, sampling, and prior belief ; Reality testing ; The courtroom of perception ; Mental illness and prediction error ; Delusions and expected precisions ; Autism and expected precisions ; Balancing passive and active inference ; Summary: Prediction error failures in illness and health
Surprise and misrepresentation : Misperception as failure of prediction error minimization ; Misperception and rule-following ; Hierarchical modes of presentation ; In the Bayesian room ; Summary: A mechanism for representation
Part III. The mind : Precision, attention, and consciousness : From mental searchlight to precision expectations ; Learning patterns of noise and uncertainty ; Patterns of expected precisions in attention ; Volitional attention as active inference ; Inattentional blindness as low gain and prior ; Endogenous and exogenous attention ; Attention and conscious perception ; Summary: Statistical aspects of attention and consciousness
Perceptual unity in action : From causal inference to consciousness? ; Perceptual unity ; Unity, and ignition of the global neuronal workspace ; Ignition, active inference, and unity ; Action-based unity and indirectness ; Summary: Unity and causal seclusion
The fragile mirror of nature : Truth trackers or just a penchant for error minimization? ; Is perception indirect? ; The Bayesian body ; Fragility, internality, and situatedness ; Summary: A disconcerting and comforting perceptual relation?
Into the predictive mind : Emotions and bodily sensations ; Introspection is inference on mental causes ; The private mind in interaction ; The self as a sensory trajectory ; Summary: The probabilistic and causal mind
Concluding remarks: the mind in prediction.
Prediction error minimization : A statistical illustration ; Reconceiving the relation to the world ; Being supervised by the world ; A deeper perspective ; Recognition and model inversion ; Summary: Perception in prediction
Prediction error, context, and precision : Context and uncertainty ; Plugging the leaky dam ; Expected precisions ; Precisions and prediction error gain ; The basic mechanism: matters arising ; Summary: Passive perceivers?
Action and expected experience : Active inference in perception ; Modelling the agent, and acting ; Bounding surprise ; Active inference: matters arising ; Prediction error minimization: challenges ; Summary: Tooling up for understanding the mind
Part II. The world : Binding is inference : The binding problem and causal inference ; Initial pleas for the Bayesian story ; From common cause to sensory binding ; Binding, attention, and precision ; Summary: Binding in error minimization
Is predicting seeing? : Cognitive penetrability: initial moves ; Cognitive penetrability under mounting uncertainty ; Making room for cognitive impenetrability ; Possible cases of cognitive penetrability ; Summary: A balanced notion of cognitive penetrability
Precarious prediction : Trading off perception and misperception ; Accuracy and noise ; Precisions, sampling, and prior belief ; Reality testing ; The courtroom of perception ; Mental illness and prediction error ; Delusions and expected precisions ; Autism and expected precisions ; Balancing passive and active inference ; Summary: Prediction error failures in illness and health
Surprise and misrepresentation : Misperception as failure of prediction error minimization ; Misperception and rule-following ; Hierarchical modes of presentation ; In the Bayesian room ; Summary: A mechanism for representation
Part III. The mind : Precision, attention, and consciousness : From mental searchlight to precision expectations ; Learning patterns of noise and uncertainty ; Patterns of expected precisions in attention ; Volitional attention as active inference ; Inattentional blindness as low gain and prior ; Endogenous and exogenous attention ; Attention and conscious perception ; Summary: Statistical aspects of attention and consciousness
Perceptual unity in action : From causal inference to consciousness? ; Perceptual unity ; Unity, and ignition of the global neuronal workspace ; Ignition, active inference, and unity ; Action-based unity and indirectness ; Summary: Unity and causal seclusion
The fragile mirror of nature : Truth trackers or just a penchant for error minimization? ; Is perception indirect? ; The Bayesian body ; Fragility, internality, and situatedness ; Summary: A disconcerting and comforting perceptual relation?
Into the predictive mind : Emotions and bodily sensations ; Introspection is inference on mental causes ; The private mind in interaction ; The self as a sensory trajectory ; Summary: The probabilistic and causal mind
Concluding remarks: the mind in prediction.