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Mistakes as a feature of everyday political life
Foreign policy mistakes and the exercise of power
Fearing losses too little : deterrence failures
Fearing losses too much : false alarm failures
Seeking gains too late : reassurance failures
Seeking gains too soon : false hope failures
Foreign policy analysis : maximizing rationality
Foreign policy analysis : minimizing mistakes
Avoiding foreign policy mistakes : extension and expansion
Foreign policy dynamics : the Middle East and South Asia systems
Some final thoughts : exploring the rationality frontier.

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