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Table of Contents
Tables; Figures; Abbreviations; 1 Introduction; 1.1 Research object; 1.2 Current state of research; 1.3 Cognitive interest and theoretical premises; 1.3.1 Complexity; 1.3.2 Uncertainty; 1.3.3 Successful influence; 1.4 Structure; 2 Motivation and ability to act and influence; 2.1 Rationality in complex systems; 2.1.1 Interests; 2.1.2 Institutions; 2.1.3 Handling uncertainty in the real world; 2.1.4 Summary; 2.2 Power of collective actors in complex systems; 2.2.1 Ideational power; 2.2.2 Organizational Power; 2.2.3 Summary; 2.3 Hypotheses; 3 Method; 3.1 Case selection
3.2 Sources of information and data quality3.3 Availability and reliability of data; 3.4 Interpretation of information; 3.4.1 Assessment of ideational power; 3.4.2 Assessment of aspects of organizational power; 4 Country Analysis; 4.1 Bureaucratic competence; 4.1.1 Quantitative assessments at macro-level; 4.1.2 Input; 4.2 Economic Analysis; 4.2.1 Macroeconomic development; 4.2.2 Structure of the economy; 4.3 Political resolve; 4.3.1 Azerbaijan's political configuration; 4.3.2 Democracy; 4.3.3 Rule of law; 4.4 Effectiveness; 4.4.1 Policy-making; 4.4.2 Budget
4.5 Ideological power of the regime4.5.1 Political culture; 4.5.2 Satisfaction with state performance; 4.6 Politics; 4.6.1 Political narratives; 4.6.2 Interplay of interests; 4.6.3 Political action space due to uncertainty; 5 Energy policy and politics; 5.1 Azerbaijan's energy sector; 5.1.1 Trends; 5.1.2 Policy and regulation; 5.1.3 Players; 5.2 Private influence in uncertain conditions; 5.2.1 Natural gas transport; 5.2.2 Barmek; 5.3 Making Azerbaijan sustainable through initiatives; 5.3.1 The Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative; 5.3.2 The Global Gas Flaring Reduction Initiative
5.4 Reflection of the cases5.4.1 Patterns; 5.4.2 State capacity; 6 Summary and conclusion; Bibliography; Annex
3.2 Sources of information and data quality3.3 Availability and reliability of data; 3.4 Interpretation of information; 3.4.1 Assessment of ideational power; 3.4.2 Assessment of aspects of organizational power; 4 Country Analysis; 4.1 Bureaucratic competence; 4.1.1 Quantitative assessments at macro-level; 4.1.2 Input; 4.2 Economic Analysis; 4.2.1 Macroeconomic development; 4.2.2 Structure of the economy; 4.3 Political resolve; 4.3.1 Azerbaijan's political configuration; 4.3.2 Democracy; 4.3.3 Rule of law; 4.4 Effectiveness; 4.4.1 Policy-making; 4.4.2 Budget
4.5 Ideological power of the regime4.5.1 Political culture; 4.5.2 Satisfaction with state performance; 4.6 Politics; 4.6.1 Political narratives; 4.6.2 Interplay of interests; 4.6.3 Political action space due to uncertainty; 5 Energy policy and politics; 5.1 Azerbaijan's energy sector; 5.1.1 Trends; 5.1.2 Policy and regulation; 5.1.3 Players; 5.2 Private influence in uncertain conditions; 5.2.1 Natural gas transport; 5.2.2 Barmek; 5.3 Making Azerbaijan sustainable through initiatives; 5.3.1 The Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative; 5.3.2 The Global Gas Flaring Reduction Initiative
5.4 Reflection of the cases5.4.1 Patterns; 5.4.2 State capacity; 6 Summary and conclusion; Bibliography; Annex