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000755412 020__ $$a9789811011139$$q(electronic book)
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000755412 08204 $$a363.34072/7$$223
000755412 24500 $$aNatural disasters, when will they reach me?$$h[electronic resource] /$$cIsuri Wijesundera, Malka N. Halgamuge, Thrishantha Nanayakkara, Thas Nirmalathas.
000755412 264_1 $$aSingapore :$$bSpringer,$$c2016.
000755412 300__ $$a1 online resource (xvi, 128 pages) :$$billustrations.
000755412 336__ $$atext$$btxt$$2rdacontent
000755412 337__ $$acomputer$$bc$$2rdamedia
000755412 338__ $$aonline resource$$bcr$$2rdacarrier
000755412 4901_ $$aSpringer natural hazards
000755412 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
000755412 5050_ $$aThe stochastic nature of disaster propagation -- Predicting Flood induced by cyclones -- How to forecast the spread of bushfires -- Propagation on a non-homogeneous media in the presence of bias -- Conclusion.
000755412 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users.
000755412 520__ $$aThe expected time of impact, also known as the mean first passage time (MFPT) to reach failure, is a critical metric in the management of natural disasters. The complexity of the dynamics governing natural disasters lead to stochastic behaviour. This book shows that state transitions of many such systems translate into random walks on their respective state spaces, biased and shaped by environmental inhomogeneity. Thus the probabilistic treatment of those random walks gives valuable insights of expected behaviour. A comprehensive case study of predicting cyclone induced flood is followed by a discussion of generic methods that predict MFPT addressing directional bias. This is followed by discussing MFPT prediction methods in systems showing network inhomogeneity. All presented methods are illustrated using real datasets of natural disasters. The book ends with a short discussion of possible future research areas introducing the problem of predicting MFPT for bush-fire propagation.
000755412 588__ $$aOnline resource; title from PDF title page (SpringerLink, viewed May 25, 2016).
000755412 650_0 $$aNatural disasters$$xStatistical methods.
000755412 650_0 $$aNatural disasters$$xForecasting.
000755412 7001_ $$aWijesundera, Isuri,$$eauthor.
000755412 7001_ $$aHalgamuge, Malka N.,$$eauthor
000755412 7001_ $$aNanayakkara, Thrishantha,$$eauthor.
000755412 7001_ $$aNirmalathas, Thas,$$eauthor.
000755412 77608 $$iPrint version:$$tNatural disasters, when will they reach me?$$dSingapore : Springer, c2016$$z9789811011115$$w(DLC) 2016938405
000755412 830_0 $$aSpringer natural hazards.
000755412 85280 $$bebk$$hSpringerLink
000755412 85640 $$3SpringerLink$$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=http://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-981-10-1113-9$$zOnline Access$$91397441.1
000755412 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:755412$$pGLOBAL_SET
000755412 980__ $$aEBOOK
000755412 980__ $$aBIB
000755412 982__ $$aEbook
000755412 983__ $$aOnline
000755412 994__ $$a92$$bISE