000760711 000__ 04719cam\a2200601Ii\4500
000760711 001__ 760711
000760711 005__ 20230306142121.0
000760711 006__ m\\\\\o\\d\\\\\\\\
000760711 007__ cr\cn\nnnunnun
000760711 008__ 151201t20162016sz\\\\\\ob\\\\000\0\eng\d
000760711 019__ $$a930836580$$a932169325$$a932333783
000760711 020__ $$a9783319243252$$q(electronic book)
000760711 020__ $$a331924325X$$q(electronic book)
000760711 020__ $$z9783319243238
000760711 020__ $$z3319243233
000760711 0247_ $$a10.1007/978-3-319-24325-2$$2doi
000760711 035__ $$aSP(OCoLC)ocn930703267
000760711 035__ $$aSP(OCoLC)930703267$$z(OCoLC)930836580$$z(OCoLC)932169325$$z(OCoLC)932333783
000760711 040__ $$aN$T$$beng$$erda$$epn$$cN$T$$dIDEBK$$dYDXCP$$dEBLCP$$dN$T$$dOCLCO$$dCDX$$dAZU$$dNUI$$dOCLCF$$dDEBSZ$$dOCLCQ$$dCOO
000760711 049__ $$aISEA
000760711 050_4 $$aHB3711
000760711 08204 $$a338.542$$223
000760711 1001_ $$aAimar, Thierry,$$eauthor.
000760711 24510 $$aBusiness cycles in the run of history /$$cThierry Aimar, Francis Bismans, Claude Diebolt ; in collaboration with Reynald Majetti and Zohra Rabah.
000760711 264_1 $$aCham ;$$aNew York :$$bSpringer,$$c[2016]
000760711 264_4 $$c©2016
000760711 300__ $$a1 online resource (vi, 94 pages).
000760711 336__ $$atext$$btxt$$2rdacontent
000760711 337__ $$acomputer$$bc$$2rdamedia
000760711 338__ $$aonline resource$$bcr$$2rdacarrier
000760711 347__ $$atext file$$bPDF$$2rda
000760711 4901_ $$aSpringerBriefs in economics,$$x2191-5504
000760711 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references at the end of each chapters.
000760711 5050_ $$a1 Introduction; Abstract ; Reference; 2 Theory; Abstract ; 2.1 The "Old Decennial Cycle" and Its Theorizations; 2.1.1 Industrial Crises; 2.1.2 Classical Business Cycles; 2.2 The Years of High Theory; 2.2.1 Austrian Theory; 2.2.2 The Keynesian Revolution; 2.3 Keynesianism and Around; 2.3.1 The Keynesian School; 2.3.2 The Samuelson-Hicks Model; 2.3.3 "Non-linear" Contributions of Goodwin and Allais; 2.4 The Statistical and Econometric Approaches; 2.4.1 The First Steps; 2.4.2 The "Tinbergen Moment"; 2.4.3 Towards Large Scale Models; References; 3 Empirics; Abstract.
000760711 5058_ $$a3.1 Towards New Approaches of the Cycle3.1.1 The Decomposition of the Neo-Classical Synthesis; 3.1.2 Equilibrium Cycles; 3.1.3 Unorthodox Theories: Minsky; 3.1.4 Unorthodox Theories: Hayek; 3.2 Long Cycles; 3.2.1 From the Precursors; 3.2.2 To the Schumpeterian Tradition; 3.3 The Empirics of Business Cycle Analysis; 3.3.1 What Is the Business Cycle?; 3.3.2 Measuring and Dating the Business Cycle; References; 4 Dating; Abstract ; 4.1 Methodology; 4.1.1 Markov-Switching Models; 4.1.2 Estimation; 4.1.3 Testing for Nonlinearity; 4.2 Dating the French Business Cycle; 4.2.1 Data and Models.
000760711 5058_ $$a4.2.2 Estimation and Results (I)4.2.3 Estimations and Results (II); 4.3 The Case of South Africa; 4.3.1 Model and Data; 4.3.2 Estimation and Tests; 4.3.3 A Chronology of the Business Cycle; 4.3.4 A Brief Comparison; References; 5 Forecasting; Abstract ; 5.1 Chronology and Features of the German Cycle; 5.1.1 BBQ Algorithm; 5.1.2 Some Characteristics of the German Cycle; 5.2 The Econometric Model; 5.2.1 The Dynamic Probit; 5.2.2 Empirical Model; 5.2.3 In-Sample Prediction; 5.3 Forecasting in Real Time; 5.3.1 The Predicting Method; 5.3.2 Forecasting the Recessions After 2005; References.
000760711 5058_ $$a6 AfterwordAbstract ; 6.1 A Plea for a New Econometrics-Based Macroeconomics; 6.2 The Standard Macroeconomic Model; 6.3 A Critical Evaluation; 6.4 The Turmoil of the 2007-2008 Crisis; 6.5 Macroeconomics Otherwise; References.
000760711 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users.
000760711 520__ $$aThis book analyzes the development of economic cycles in the run of history. The focus is on the development of cycle theory, with maximum emphasis upon ideas. Chapter 1 delivers an overview of the debate about cycles before the 1970s. Chapter 2 completes this survey by presenting the main empirical investigations since that time. Finally, Chapters 3 and 4 illustrate the discourse, by presenting, in the tradition of Burns and Mitchell, original case studies on France, South Africa, and Germany.
000760711 588__ $$aOnline resource; title from PDF title page (viewed December 15, 2015).
000760711 650_0 $$aBusiness cycles.
000760711 650_0 $$aEconomics$$xHistory.
000760711 650_0 $$aEconomic history.
000760711 7001_ $$aBismans, Francis,$$eauthor.
000760711 7001_ $$aDiebolt, Claude,$$d1967-$$eauthor.
000760711 7001_ $$aMajetti, Reynald.
000760711 7001_ $$aRabah, Zohra.
000760711 77608 $$iPrint version:$$aAimar, Thierry.$$tBusiness cycles in the run of history.$$z9783319243238$$z3319243233$$w(OCoLC)917363192
000760711 830_0 $$aSpringerBriefs in economics.$$x2191-5504
000760711 852__ $$bebk
000760711 85640 $$3SpringerLink$$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=http://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-319-24325-2$$zOnline Access$$91397441.1
000760711 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:760711$$pGLOBAL_SET
000760711 980__ $$aEBOOK
000760711 980__ $$aBIB
000760711 982__ $$aEbook
000760711 983__ $$aOnline
000760711 994__ $$a92$$bISE