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Abstract; List of Figures; List of Tables; 1 Overview; Abstract ; 1.1 Introduction; 1.2 Background of the Problem; 1.3 Statement of the Problem; 1.4 Research Questions; 1.5 Research Objectives; 1.6 Methodology; 1.7 Scope of Research; 1.8 Significance of the Research; 1.9 Structure of the Study; References; 2 The Energy Sector in Nigeria; Abstract ; 2.1 A Brief History on the Nigerian Power Sector; 2.2 The Nigerian Energy Resources; 2.2.1 Conventional Energy Resources; 2.2.1.1 Crude Oil; 2.2.1.2 Natural Gas; 2.2.1.3 Coal; 2.2.2 Non-conventional Energy Resources (Renewable Energy)

2.2.2.1 Biomass EnergyBiogas; 2.2.2.2 Hydro Energy; 2.2.2.3 Solar Energy; 2.2.2.4 Wind Energy; 2.3 Primary Energy Supply in Nigeria; 2.4 Primary Energy Consumption; 2.5 Relevant Government Ministries, Parastatals and Agencies in the Nigerian Energy Sector and Their Roles; 2.5.1 The Energy Commission of Nigeria (ECN); 2.5.2 Federal Ministry of Environment (FME); 2.5.3 Federal Ministry of Lands, Housing, and Urban Development (FMLHUD); 2.5.4 Federal Ministry of Power (FMP); 2.5.5 Federal Ministry of Water Resources (FMWR); 2.5.6 National Power Training Institute of Nigeria (NAPTIN)

2.5.7 Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Plc. (NBET)2.5.8 Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC); 2.5.9 Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC); 2.5.10 Presidential Taskforce on Power (PTFP); 2.5.11 Rural Electrification Agency of Nigeria (REA); 2.5.12 Standards Organization of Nigeria (SON); 2.5.13 Council for Renewable Energy in Nigeria (CREN); 2.5.14 Green Building Council of Nigeria (GBCN); 2.6 Nigerian Energy Policies and Strategies; 2.6.1 National Electric Power Policy (NEPP), 2001; 2.6.2 National Energy Policy (NEP) (2003), (2006), (2013)

2.6.3 National Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy (NEEDS) (2004)2.6.4 National Power Sector Reform Act (EPSRA), 2005; 2.6.5 Renewable Electricity Policy Guidelines (REPG) 2006; 2.6.6 Renewable Electricity Action Programme (REAP) (2006); 2.6.7 Nigerian Biofuel Policy and Incentives (NBPI) (2007); 2.6.8 Nigerian Gas Master Plan (NGMP) 2008; 2.6.9 Roadmap for Power Sector Reform (A Customer-Driven Sector-Wide Plan to Achieve Stable Power Supply 2010) and (Revision 1, 2013); 2.6.10 Renewable Energy Master Plan (REMP) (2005), (2012)

2.6.11 National Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Policy (NREEEP) (2014)2.6.12 Multi-year Tariff Order (MYTO), 2008 and 2012; 2.6.13 Draft Rural Electrification Strategy and Implementation Plan (RESIP) (2014); References; 3 Literature Review; Abstract ; 3.1 Review of Energy Forecasting Models; 3.1.1 Approach to Energy Modeling; 3.1.2 Classification of Existing Bottom-Up and Top-Down Energy Models; 3.2 Literature Review and Synthesis; 3.2.1 Literature Review; 3.2.2 Synthesis of the Literature; References; 4 Methodology, Data, and Scenario Development; Abstract ; 4.1 The Model

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