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Table of Contents
Acknowledgment; Contents; Introduction; 1 The Arguments; 2 Setting the Stage; 3 The Book; Part I: Structural Change and Cycles; Economic Potential of Breakthrough Technologies and Its Social Consequences; 1 The Global Economy Slowdown During the 5th KEC (1982-2018); 2 On Kondratiev-Schumpeterś Theory of Innovative Cyclical Economic Development; 3 Hirookaś Innovative Paradigm; 4 Forecasting a Rising Phase of the 6th Long Wave According to Kondratievś Economic Theory; 5 Forecasting the Economic Potential of NBIC Technologies
6 Mainstream Innovations of the 6th KEC and Technological Convergence7 Social Consequences of NBIC-Technological Revolution; References; Structural and Technological Stalemate in Eurozone: If This Is the Reality, What We Can Expect?; 1 Introduction; 2 Some Evidences on Bifurcation and Structural Disparities; 3 Nonlinear Model of Bifurcation Process; 4 Eurozone Is in the State of Metamorphism: Some Statistics Evidence; 5 Conclusion; References; On the Asymmetry of Economic Cycles; 1 Review of Economic Cyclic Dynamics Theories; 2 On the Key Parameters of Cyclic Dynamics; 2.1 Periodicity
2.2 Amplitude2.3 Asymmetry; 3 Cyclic Deviations of Linear Trends; 4 Conclusion; References; Modern Trends in Evaluation of Macroeconomic Structural Changes; 1 Introduction; 2 Structural Changes Research Technique; 3 Estimation of Direction of Structural Changes Based on Attractors; 4 Estimation of Quality of Industrial and Technological Structure of Economy; 5 Evaluation of the Imbalance of Economic Structure; 5.1 Disaggregation and Structural Technological Shifts; 5.2 Analytical Solution; 6 Results; 7 Conclusion; References; Distribution and Clusters of Basic Innovations; 1 Introduction
2 Poisson Regression3 Mathematical Proof of the Poisson-distributed Basic Innovations; 4 Empirical Results; 5 Clusters of Basic Innovations; 6 Conclusions; Appendix 1; Appendix 2; References; Financial Instability Under Innovation Development: Reasons and Regulation Within the Model of Evolutionary Processes; 1 Introduction; 2 Evolutionary Processes in Financial Markets; 3 Mathematical Model of Evolutionary Processes; 4 Instability of Financial Markets and It Impact on the Macroeconomic Development; 5 Empirical Analysis of the Existing Trends; 6 Concluding Remarks; References
Part II: Technological ChangeThe Challenges in the Transition from Fossil Fuel to Renewable Energy; 1 Introduction; 2 Literature Review; 3 Stylized Facts; 3.1 Consumption and Supply of Energy; 3.2 Net Generation of Electricity; 3.3 Receipts and Costs; 3.4 Prices of Fossil Fuel; 3.5 Stock Market Performance; 3.6 Carbon Dioxide Emissions; 3.7 Jobs in Renewable Energy; 4 Dynamic Model; 5 Solutions and Optimal Path; 6 Conclusion; References; Racing to a Renewable Transition?; 1 Introduction; 2 Systemic Leadership Concerns; 2.1 Who Is on First Base?; 2.2 Who Is Winning the Renewable Energy Race?
6 Mainstream Innovations of the 6th KEC and Technological Convergence7 Social Consequences of NBIC-Technological Revolution; References; Structural and Technological Stalemate in Eurozone: If This Is the Reality, What We Can Expect?; 1 Introduction; 2 Some Evidences on Bifurcation and Structural Disparities; 3 Nonlinear Model of Bifurcation Process; 4 Eurozone Is in the State of Metamorphism: Some Statistics Evidence; 5 Conclusion; References; On the Asymmetry of Economic Cycles; 1 Review of Economic Cyclic Dynamics Theories; 2 On the Key Parameters of Cyclic Dynamics; 2.1 Periodicity
2.2 Amplitude2.3 Asymmetry; 3 Cyclic Deviations of Linear Trends; 4 Conclusion; References; Modern Trends in Evaluation of Macroeconomic Structural Changes; 1 Introduction; 2 Structural Changes Research Technique; 3 Estimation of Direction of Structural Changes Based on Attractors; 4 Estimation of Quality of Industrial and Technological Structure of Economy; 5 Evaluation of the Imbalance of Economic Structure; 5.1 Disaggregation and Structural Technological Shifts; 5.2 Analytical Solution; 6 Results; 7 Conclusion; References; Distribution and Clusters of Basic Innovations; 1 Introduction
2 Poisson Regression3 Mathematical Proof of the Poisson-distributed Basic Innovations; 4 Empirical Results; 5 Clusters of Basic Innovations; 6 Conclusions; Appendix 1; Appendix 2; References; Financial Instability Under Innovation Development: Reasons and Regulation Within the Model of Evolutionary Processes; 1 Introduction; 2 Evolutionary Processes in Financial Markets; 3 Mathematical Model of Evolutionary Processes; 4 Instability of Financial Markets and It Impact on the Macroeconomic Development; 5 Empirical Analysis of the Existing Trends; 6 Concluding Remarks; References
Part II: Technological ChangeThe Challenges in the Transition from Fossil Fuel to Renewable Energy; 1 Introduction; 2 Literature Review; 3 Stylized Facts; 3.1 Consumption and Supply of Energy; 3.2 Net Generation of Electricity; 3.3 Receipts and Costs; 3.4 Prices of Fossil Fuel; 3.5 Stock Market Performance; 3.6 Carbon Dioxide Emissions; 3.7 Jobs in Renewable Energy; 4 Dynamic Model; 5 Solutions and Optimal Path; 6 Conclusion; References; Racing to a Renewable Transition?; 1 Introduction; 2 Systemic Leadership Concerns; 2.1 Who Is on First Base?; 2.2 Who Is Winning the Renewable Energy Race?