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000807029 019__ $$a979992139$$a984607107$$a984879663
000807029 020__ $$a3319526057$$qelectronic book
000807029 020__ $$z3319526049
000807029 020__ $$z9783319526041
000807029 020__ $$a9783319526058$$q(electronic book)
000807029 0247_ $$a10.1007/978-3-319-52605-8$$2doi
000807029 035__ $$aSP(OCoLC)ocn984333943
000807029 035__ $$aSP(OCoLC)984333943$$z(OCoLC)979992139$$z(OCoLC)984607107$$z(OCoLC)984879663
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000807029 049__ $$aISEA
000807029 050_4 $$aJZ1253$$b.D46 2017
000807029 08204 $$a327.101$$223
000807029 1001_ $$aDemir, Imran,$$d1976-$$eauthor.
000807029 24510 $$aOverconfidence and risk taking in foreign policy decision making :$$bthe case of Turkey's Syria policy /$$cImran Demir.
000807029 264_1 $$aCham, Swtizerland :$$bPalgrave Macmillan,$$c[2017]
000807029 300__ $$a1 online resource (148 pages).
000807029 336__ $$atext$$btxt$$2rdacontent
000807029 337__ $$acomputer$$2rdamedia
000807029 338__ $$aonline resource$$2rdacarrier
000807029 347__ $$atext file$$bPDF$$2rda
000807029 4901_ $$aPalgrave pivot
000807029 5050_ $$a1. Introduction -- 2. The Relevant Literature on Past Outcomes, Overconfidence and Risk Taking -- 3. Modeling the Relationship between Past Outcomes, Overconfidence and Risk Taking -- 4. The Turkish Policy to Remove Syrian President Assad: Overconfidence Obscures Risks and Magnifies Failure -- 5. Why Turkish Overconfidence Was Too Obvious -- 6. Conclusion. .
000807029 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users.
000807029 520__ $$aThis book introduces a new perspective on risk seeking behaviour, developing a framework based on various cognitive theories, and applying it to the specific case-study of Turkey's foreign policy toward Syria. The author examines why policy makers commit themselves to polices that they do not have the capacity to deliver, and develops an alternative theoretical model to prospect theory in explaining risk taking behaviour based on the concept of overconfidence. The volume suggests that overconfident individuals exhibit risk seeking behaviour that contradicts the risk averse behaviour of individuals in the domain of gain, as predicted by prospect theory. Using a set of testable hypothesis deduced from the model, it presents an empirical investigation of the causes behind Turkish decision makers' unprecedented level of risk taking toward the uprising in Syria and the consequences of this policy.
000807029 588__ $$aDescription based on online resource; title from digital title page (viewed on April 25, 2017).
000807029 650_0 $$aInternational relations$$xDecision making.
000807029 77608 $$iPrint version:$$z3319526049$$z9783319526041$$w(OCoLC)966909872
000807029 830_0 $$aPalgrave pivot.
000807029 852__ $$bebk
000807029 85640 $$3SpringerLink$$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=http://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-319-52605-8$$zOnline Access$$91397441.1
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000807029 980__ $$aEBOOK
000807029 980__ $$aBIB
000807029 982__ $$aEbook
000807029 983__ $$aOnline
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