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Title
Cohort Change Ratios and their Applications / by Jack Baker, David A. Swanson, Jeff Tayman, Lucky M. Tedrow.
ISBN
9783319537450
3319537458
331953744X
9783319537443
Published
Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint : Springer, 2017.
Language
English
Description
1 online resource (xiii, 255 pages) : illustrations.
Other Standard Identifiers
10.1007/978-3-319-53745-0 doi
Call Number
HB848-3697
Dewey Decimal Classification
001.42
Summary
This textbook focuses on the cohort change ratio (CCR) method. It presents powerful, yet relatively simple ways to generate accurate demographic estimates and forecasts that are cost efficient and require fewer resources than other techniques. The concepts, analytical frameworks, and methodological tools presented do not require extensive knowledge of demographics, mathematics, or statistics. The demographic focus is on the characteristics of populations, especially age and sex composition, but these methods are applicable estimating and forecasting other characteristics and total population. The book contains more traditional applications such as the Hamilton-Perry method, but also includes new applications of the CCR method such as stable population theory. Real world empirical examples are provided for every application; along with excel files containing data and program code, which are accessible online. Topics covered include basic demographic measures, sources of demographic information, forecasting and estimating (both current and historical) populations, modifications to current methods, forecasting school enrollment and other characteristics, estimating life expectancy, stable population theory, decomposition of the CCR into its migration and mortality components, and the utility of the CCR. This textbook is designed to provide material for an advanced undergraduate or graduate course on demographic methods. It can also be used as a supplement for other courses including applied demography, business and economic forecasting and market research.
Bibliography, etc. Note
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Access Note
Access limited to authorized users.
Digital File Characteristics
text file PDF
Available in Other Form
Print version: 9783319537443
Foreword
Preface
Chapter 1 Introduction
Chapter 2 Basic Demographic Concepts
Chapter 3 Sources of Demographic Information
Chapter 4 Forecasting Population Size and Composition
Chapter 5 Forecasting Using Modified Cohort Change Ratios
Chapter 6 Forecasting Uncertainty
Chapter 7 Forecasting School Enrollment Size and Composition
Chapter 8 Forecasting Other Characteristics
Chapter 9 Estimating Population Size and Composition
Chapter 10 Estimating Historical Populations
Chapter 11 Estimating Life Expectancy
Chapter 12 Stable Population Theory
Chapter 13 Decomposition of Cohort Change Ratios
Chapter 14 Forecasting Incorporating Spatial Dependencies
Chapter 15 The Utility of Cohort Change Ratios
Chapter 16 Concluding Remarks
Subject Index.
