000839974 000__ 02980cam\a2200385\a\4500 000839974 001__ 839974 000839974 005__ 20210515151503.0 000839974 006__ m\\\\\o\\d\\\\\\\\ 000839974 007__ cr\cn\nnnunnun 000839974 008__ 100901s2011\\\\enka\\\\ob\\\\001\0\eng\d 000839974 010__ $$z 2010037661 000839974 020__ $$z9780521760577 000839974 020__ $$z9781139044981$$q(electronic book) 000839974 035__ $$a(MiAaPQ)EBC674640 000839974 035__ $$a(Au-PeEL)EBL674640 000839974 035__ $$a(CaPaEBR)ebr10460563 000839974 035__ $$a(CaONFJC)MIL305456 000839974 035__ $$a(OCoLC)710974839 000839974 040__ $$aMiAaPQ$$cMiAaPQ$$dMiAaPQ 000839974 050_4 $$aQA273$$b.A93 2011 000839974 08204 $$a519.2/87$$222 000839974 1001_ $$aAven, T.$$q(Terje) 000839974 24510 $$aQuantitative risk assessment$$h[electronic resource] :$$bthe scientific platform /$$cTerje Aven. 000839974 260__ $$aCambridge ;$$aNew York :$$bCambridge University Press,$$c2011. 000839974 300__ $$axi, 211 p. :$$bill. 000839974 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references and index. 000839974 5058_ $$aMachine generated contents note: Preface; 1. Introduction to risk management and risk assessments. Challenges; 2. Concepts and perspectives on risk; 3. Science and scientific requirements; 4. Introduction to case studies; 5. Risk assessment when the objective is accurate risk estimation; 6. Risk assessment when the objective is uncertainty descriptions; 7. Risk management and communication issues; 8. Towards a holistic approach to risk assessments; 9. Conclusions; Appendix A. Introduction to probability theory and statistical analysis; Appendix B. Terminology; References; Index. 000839974 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users. 000839974 520__ $$a"Quantitative risk assessments cannot eliminate risk, nor can they resolve trade-offs. They can, however, guide principled risk management and reduction - if the quality of assessment is high and decision makers understand how to use it. This book builds a unifying scientific framework for discussing and evaluating the quality of risk assessments and whether they are fit for purpose. Uncertainty is a central topic. In practice, uncertainties about inputs are rarely reflected in assessments, with the result that many safety measures are considered unjustified. Other topics include the meaning of a probability, the use of probability models, the use of Bayesian ideas and techniques, and the use of risk assessment in a practical decision-making context. Written for professionals, as well as graduate students and researchers, the book assumes basic probability, statistics and risk assessment methods. Examples make concepts concrete, and three extended case studies show the scientific framework in action"--$$cProvided by publisher. 000839974 650_0 $$aProbabilities. 000839974 650_0 $$aRisk assessment$$xStatistical methods. 000839974 650_0 $$aDecision making$$xStatistical methods. 000839974 852__ $$bebk 000839974 85640 $$3ProQuest Ebook Central Academic Complete$$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/usiricelib-ebooks/detail.action?docID=674640$$zOnline Access 000839974 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:839974$$pGLOBAL_SET 000839974 980__ $$aEBOOK 000839974 980__ $$aBIB 000839974 982__ $$aEbook 000839974 983__ $$aOnline