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Intro; Foreword by Tanya S. Beder; Contents; List of Figures; List of Tables; Managing Country Risk in an Age of Globalization: Introduction; 1 Assessing Risk in a Global Economy; 1.1 Introduction; 1.2 What Is Risk?; 1.2.1 A Multifaceted Concept; 1.2.2 Risk, Uncertainty, and Ambiguity; 1.2.3 A Spectrum of Diverse Issues; 1.2.4 A Source of Loss and Gain; 1.2.5 The Effect on Other Outcomes; 1.2.6 A Function of Perspective; 1.2.7 Inherent Versus Residual Risk; 1.2.8 Risk Appetite; 1.3 What Is Risk Management?; 1.3.1 A Way of Thinking; 1.3.2 What Risk Management Requires; 1.4 Conclusion
3 Country Risk in the Age of Globalization: Cycles and Dynamics. A Review of Literature3.1 Introduction to the Main Approaches to Country Risk Analysis; 3.1.1 The Analysis of Country Risk Has Continuously Evolved; 3.1.2 The Scope of Country Risk Has Continuously Evolved; 3.1.3 Puzzling Over the Anatomy of Crises; 3.1.4 The Global Financial Crisis Has Changed the "Frame Analysis"; 3.2 Is Country Risk Prediction Doomed to Failure in the Age of Globalization?; 3.2.1 Quantitative Versus Qualitative Approach; 3.3 What About New Kind of Crises and New Related Indicators?
3.3.1 Push Versus Pull Factors3.3.2 In the Long Run, We Are All Dead; 3.4 The Cyclic Nature of Crises Is Increasingly at the Heart of Country Risk Analysis; 3.4.1 Sources of Cycles; 3.4.2 Bunches of Defaults; 3.4.3 Amplifying Factors and Minsky Moment; 3.4.4 Recurrent Cyclic Patterns; 3.4.5 Vicious Spirals; 3.4.6 Distorted Incentives; 3.5 Additional Sources of Cycles and Volatility; 3.5.1 Prices and Exchange Rates; 3.5.2 Risk Appetite and Market Sentiment; 3.5.3 Commodities are also "Super-Cyclical"; 3.5.4 Real Estate Cycles and Global Impact; 3.6 Globalization and Country Vulnerabilities
3.6.1 Holistic Perspective and Interactions3.6.2 Vulnerability Factors Identified by Scholars; 3.6.3 Tolerance and Resilience Factors; 3.6.4 "Communicating Vessels" Effect; 3.7 Structural Vulnerabilities; 3.7.1 Trade Vulnerabilities; 3.7.2 A Mix of Structural Weaknesses and Growth Bottleneck; 3.8 Developing Countries: Geometrically Variable Models; 3.8.1 Setting the Scene; 3.8.2 Inequalities and Wealth Gap; 3.8.3 Institutions and Governance; 3.8.4 The Paradox of Plenty; 3.9 Concluding Remarks; References; 4 Country Risk Assessment: The Key Role of Official Information Sources
3 Country Risk in the Age of Globalization: Cycles and Dynamics. A Review of Literature3.1 Introduction to the Main Approaches to Country Risk Analysis; 3.1.1 The Analysis of Country Risk Has Continuously Evolved; 3.1.2 The Scope of Country Risk Has Continuously Evolved; 3.1.3 Puzzling Over the Anatomy of Crises; 3.1.4 The Global Financial Crisis Has Changed the "Frame Analysis"; 3.2 Is Country Risk Prediction Doomed to Failure in the Age of Globalization?; 3.2.1 Quantitative Versus Qualitative Approach; 3.3 What About New Kind of Crises and New Related Indicators?
3.3.1 Push Versus Pull Factors3.3.2 In the Long Run, We Are All Dead; 3.4 The Cyclic Nature of Crises Is Increasingly at the Heart of Country Risk Analysis; 3.4.1 Sources of Cycles; 3.4.2 Bunches of Defaults; 3.4.3 Amplifying Factors and Minsky Moment; 3.4.4 Recurrent Cyclic Patterns; 3.4.5 Vicious Spirals; 3.4.6 Distorted Incentives; 3.5 Additional Sources of Cycles and Volatility; 3.5.1 Prices and Exchange Rates; 3.5.2 Risk Appetite and Market Sentiment; 3.5.3 Commodities are also "Super-Cyclical"; 3.5.4 Real Estate Cycles and Global Impact; 3.6 Globalization and Country Vulnerabilities
3.6.1 Holistic Perspective and Interactions3.6.2 Vulnerability Factors Identified by Scholars; 3.6.3 Tolerance and Resilience Factors; 3.6.4 "Communicating Vessels" Effect; 3.7 Structural Vulnerabilities; 3.7.1 Trade Vulnerabilities; 3.7.2 A Mix of Structural Weaknesses and Growth Bottleneck; 3.8 Developing Countries: Geometrically Variable Models; 3.8.1 Setting the Scene; 3.8.2 Inequalities and Wealth Gap; 3.8.3 Institutions and Governance; 3.8.4 The Paradox of Plenty; 3.9 Concluding Remarks; References; 4 Country Risk Assessment: The Key Role of Official Information Sources