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Intro; The Publication of This Volume Was Made Possible by the Generous Support of; Academic Advisory Committee; Preface; References; Acknowledgments; Contents; Contributors; Part I: Review Articles; Chapter 1: The Quality of American Jewish Life; 1.1 Reason for Optimism by Steven M. Cohen; Traditionalists and Transformationists: The Debate; Demographic and Structural Criteria; Elite Achievement; Conflicting Images of Authenticity and Modernity; Four Sides to the Debate, Not Two; The Evidence; Intermarriage: An Ambiguous Impact; The Fallacy of Youthful Apostasy

The Fallacy of Generational DeclineWidespread Identification, Affiliation, and Differentiation; Why the Misreading?; Choosing Between the Polarization and Change-and-Stability Models; 1.2 A Grim Outlook by the Late Charles S. Liebman z"l; Signs of Erosion; A Second Look at the Concept of Assimilation; The Foundations of the Optimist Perspective; 1.3 The Sky Isn't Falling, But the Jewish Middle Is Shrinking by Steven M. Cohen; The Disturbing Big Picture; The Rhetoric of Denial; Lower Levels of Jewish Engagement Among Younger Adults; Smaller Numbers of Engaged Jews Among the Younger Adults

Far Lower Engagement Among the IntermarriedEven Bigger Gaps Among the Younger Inmarried vs. Intermarried; Why My Shift from Cautious Optimism to Disturbing Alarmism?; Concluding Reflections; References; Chapter 2: Forum on Contemporary American Jewry: Grounds for Optimism or Pessimism?; 2.1 Editors' Introduction to Optimism/Pessimism Debate by Arnold Dashefsky and Ira M. Sheskin; 2.2 Revisiting an Older Debate by Steven Bayme; 2.3 Missing Charles Liebman by Lawrence Grossman; 2.4 The Historical Significance of a Social Science Jeremiad by Riv-Ellen Prell

2.5 Valuing Jewish Families Is the Key to Jewish Tomorrows by Sylvia Barack Fishman2.6 The Consequences of Global Modernization and Technology by Harriet Hartman; 2.7 Deniers vs. Realists, a Closer Look by Bruce A. Phillips; 2.8 The Future Is Bimodal: It's the Zeitgeist by Barry A. Kosmin; 2.9 The Demise of One American Jewry by Mijal Bitton; 2.10 The Inevitable Tension within American Jewry by Laurence Kotler-Berkowitz; 2.11 Is the Jewish Middle in the Process of Transformation? By Samuel Heilman; 2.12 A Micro-Economist Enters the Debate by Carmel U. Chiswick; Presenting the Statistics

Interpreting the StatisticsPlacing Statistical Evidence in the Larger Context; Extrapolating Trends; 2.13 Steven M. Cohen's Prophecy in Historical Perspective by Jonathan D. Sarna; 2.14 Gender, Jewishness, and Religious Change by Deborah Dash Moore; 2.15 The Unit of Analysis Problem in Communal Forecasting by Shaul Kelner; 2.16 An Historian Weighs in on the American Jewish Past and Future by Pamela S. Nadell; 2.17 The Jewish Future Isn't What It Used to Be: Looking Forward from Behind by Debra R. Kaufman; 2.18 Lost in Translation: Using Data to Ensure the Jewish Future by Leonard Saxe

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