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1. Introduction
2. Explanatory Style Explained
3. Theories of Reputation for Resolve
from Thucydides to Prospect Theory
4. Text Mining the British Hansard
5. Text Mining the U.S. Congressional Record
6. The Four Crises Leading to the First World War
7. The Appeasement of Nazi Germany
8. The Crimean War versus the Suez Crisis
9. The Falkland Islands War versus the Spanish-American War
10. Pearl Harbor
11. The Korean War versus the Gulf War
12. The Vietnam War versus the Iraq War
13. The Yom Kippur War and the Soviet-Afghan War
14. Donald Trump and the Future of American Foreign Policy: Syria, Iran and North Korea
15. The Leader and the Emotional Climate
16. Conclusion.

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