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000891481 020__ $$a9783030184377$$q(electronic book)
000891481 020__ $$a3030184374$$q(electronic book)
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000891481 035__ $$aSP(OCoLC)1104790606
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000891481 1001_ $$aGordon, Theodore J.,$$eauthor.
000891481 24510 $$aFuture studies and counterfactual analysis :$$bseeds of the future /$$cTheodore J. Gordon and Mariana Todorova.
000891481 264_1 $$aCham, Switzerland :$$bPalgrave Macmillan,$$c[2019]
000891481 300__ $$a1 online resource
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000891481 337__ $$acomputer$$bc$$2rdamedia
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000891481 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
000891481 5050_ $$aChapter 1: Introduction -- Chapter 2: True or False: The Problem Here is Identifying What is True and What is Not -- Chapter 3: Proliferation: Doomsday or Politics? The Problem Here is Controlling Spread of Weapons of Mass Destruction -- Chapter 4: The Bounds of Humanity: Will Malthus Ultimately Be Proven Correct? The Problem Here is that We Don't Know How to Limit Population Growth or if New Policies are Really Necessary. Can We Leave it to Chance? -- Chapter 5: The Beginning and Hereafter: Why do We Exist? -- Chapter 6: Immortality: Where Does the Need to be Remember -- Chapter 7: Religion: The Problem Here is that in Religion, as well as Other Institutions, We See Corruption, Immorality, Ethical Lapses, and Abuses. In its Entwinement with Government: Who Makes and Enforces Laws, Sets Education Standards, and Provides Security: the People, the King, or God? -- Chapter 8: Decision Making: The Talent for Decisions. The Problem Here is that Most Decisions Turn out Badly -- Chapter 9: Dealing with Bio-terrorism: The Problem Here is that Terrorism can Adopt Biological Weapons as an Attack Mode: Harder to Detect, More Dangerous in its Outcome -- Chapter 10: Our Computer Overlords: The Problems Here are the Contest Between Work and Leisure, How Much of Each, Who has Either and the Chances for AI Becoming our Masters -- Chapter 11: What Constitutes Progress? The Problem Here is Defining What Constitutes Progress and MEans for Attaining it Since Science, Technology, Politics, and Markets do not Necessarily Follow Paths tha tLead to Solutions of Pressing Problems or Attainment of Goals -- Chapter 12: Political Chaos: The Problem Here is What Politics Has Become. Civility is Almost Gone, Debate is Almost Non-existent, yet the Sides are Firm in Their Positions and Sure They are Right -- Chapter 13: The Perfect Human: Unlocking the Mysteries of Human Genetics and Developing the Technologies to Manipulate Heredity Will Give, for Better or Worse, a New Dimension to Our Ability to Set the Fate of Our Children -- Chapter 14: Conclusions -- Appendix A Methodologies -- Appendix B Authors' Biographies -- Index.
000891481 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users.
000891481 520__ $$aIn this volume, the authors contribute to futures research by placing the counterfactual question in the future tense. They explore the possible outcomes of future, and consider how future decisions are turning points that may produce different global outcomes. This book focuses on a dozen or so intractable issues that span politics, religion, and technology, each addressed in individual chapters. Until now, most scenarios written by futurists have been built on cause and effect narratives or depended on numerical models derived from historical relationships. In contrast, many of the scenarios written for this book are point descriptions of future discontinuities, a form allows more thought-provoking presentations. Ultimately, this book demonstrates that counterfactual thinking and point scenarios of discontinuities are new, groundbreaking tools for futurists.--$$cProvided by publisher.
000891481 588__ $$aOnline resource; title from PDF title page (viewed June 19, 2019).
000891481 650_0 $$aFuture, The.
000891481 650_0 $$aForecasting.
000891481 650_0 $$aTwenty-first century$$vForecasts.
000891481 7001_ $$aTodorova, Mariana,$$eauthor.
000891481 852__ $$bebk
000891481 85640 $$3SpringerLink$$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=http://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-030-18437-7$$zOnline Access$$91397441.1
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