Long-term modeled projections of the energy sector : an incremental approach to narrowing down the uncertainty range / Yuri D. Kononov.
Kononov, Yuri D.
2020
HD9502.A2
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Title
Long-term modeled projections of the energy sector : an incremental approach to narrowing down the uncertainty range / Yuri D. Kononov.
Author
Kononov, Yuri D.
ISBN
9783030305338 (electronic book)
3030305333 (electronic book)
3030305325
9783030305321
Publication Details
Cham : Springer, c2020.
Language
English
Description
1 online resource
Call Number
HD9502.A2
Dewey Decimal Classification
333.79
Summary
This book covers available approaches to improving the performance and impact of long-term projections of the national energy sector development. In turn, it introduces an original multi-stage approach to narrowing down the uncertainty range of the input data and resulting projections. Its unique contribution is that it limits the scope for each of the projection timeframe segments step-by-step. This is done in the course of iterative calculations, which employ dedicated methods and other tools to elucidate and solve top-priority problems specific to each time segment. In closing, the book provides a detailed treatment of two essential research problems: 1) long-term forecasting for regional energy markets, and 2) the quantitative assessment of a) the barriers that are likely to hinder energy sector development and b) strategic-level energy security threats.
Bibliography, etc. Note
Includes bibliographical references.
Access Note
Access limited to authorized users.
Series
Springer geophysics.
Available in Other Form
Print version: 9783030305321
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The effects of the forecasting time frame on forecast performance and forecast performance requirements
Further development of the long-term forecasting methodology for the energy sector
Methods of projecting price and demand for energy commodities
Assessment and factoring in of conditions and barriers that limit the projection range of the prospective development of the engery sector
Quantitative assessment of strategic threats and energy security indicatiors.

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