000923491 000__ 02816cam\a2200433Ia\4500 000923491 001__ 923491 000923491 005__ 20230306151030.0 000923491 006__ m\\\\\o\\d\\\\\\\\ 000923491 007__ cr\un\nnnunnun 000923491 008__ 191120s2020\\\\sz\\\\\\ob\\\\000\0\eng\d 000923491 020__ $$a9783030305338$$q(electronic book) 000923491 020__ $$a3030305333$$q(electronic book) 000923491 020__ $$z3030305325 000923491 020__ $$z9783030305321 000923491 035__ $$aSP(OCoLC)on1128099421 000923491 035__ $$aSP(OCoLC)1128099421 000923491 040__ $$aYDX$$beng$$cYDX$$dGW5XE$$dEBLCP$$dLQU$$dOCLCF 000923491 049__ $$aISEA 000923491 050_4 $$aHD9502.A2 000923491 08204 $$a333.79$$223 000923491 1001_ $$aKononov, Yuri D. 000923491 24510 $$aLong-term modeled projections of the energy sector :$$ban incremental approach to narrowing down the uncertainty range /$$cYuri D. Kononov. 000923491 260__ $$aCham :$$bSpringer,$$cc2020. 000923491 300__ $$a1 online resource 000923491 336__ $$atext$$btxt$$2rdacontent 000923491 337__ $$acomputer$$bc$$2rdamedia 000923491 338__ $$aonline resource$$bcr$$2rdacarrier 000923491 4901_ $$aSpringer geophysics 000923491 504__ $$aIncludes bibliographical references. 000923491 5050_ $$aThe effects of the forecasting time frame on forecast performance and forecast performance requirements -- Further development of the long-term forecasting methodology for the energy sector -- Methods of projecting price and demand for energy commodities -- Assessment and factoring in of conditions and barriers that limit the projection range of the prospective development of the engery sector -- Quantitative assessment of strategic threats and energy security indicatiors. 000923491 506__ $$aAccess limited to authorized users. 000923491 520__ $$aThis book covers available approaches to improving the performance and impact of long-term projections of the national energy sector development. In turn, it introduces an original multi-stage approach to narrowing down the uncertainty range of the input data and resulting projections. Its unique contribution is that it limits the scope for each of the projection timeframe segments step-by-step. This is done in the course of iterative calculations, which employ dedicated methods and other tools to elucidate and solve top-priority problems specific to each time segment. In closing, the book provides a detailed treatment of two essential research problems: 1) long-term forecasting for regional energy markets, and 2) the quantitative assessment of a) the barriers that are likely to hinder energy sector development and b) strategic-level energy security threats. 000923491 650_0 $$aEnergy industries$$xForecasting. 000923491 77608 $$iPrint version: $$z3030305325$$z9783030305321$$w(OCoLC)1111771891 000923491 830_0 $$aSpringer geophysics. 000923491 852__ $$bebk 000923491 85640 $$3SpringerLink$$uhttps://univsouthin.idm.oclc.org/login?url=http://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-030-30533-8$$zOnline Access$$91397441.1 000923491 909CO $$ooai:library.usi.edu:923491$$pGLOBAL_SET 000923491 980__ $$aEBOOK 000923491 980__ $$aBIB 000923491 982__ $$aEbook 000923491 983__ $$aOnline 000923491 994__ $$a92$$bISE