The future of the Gulf Region : value change and global cycles / Arno Tausch.
Tausch, Arno, 1951-
2021
DS63.123
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Title The future of the Gulf Region : value change and global cycles / Arno Tausch.
Author Tausch, Arno, 1951-
ISBN 9783030782993 (electronic bk.)
3030782999 (electronic bk.)
9783030782986
3030782980
DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-78299-3
Imprint Cham : Springer, 2021.
Language English
Description 1 online resource (470 pages)
Other Standard Identifiers 10.1007/978-3-030-78299-3 doi
Call Number DS63.123
Dewey Decimal Classification 956.05/4
Summary This book studies values and attitudes in the Gulf region. In light of global power shifts, the threatening collapse of internal security in the West, and uncertainty about the current leadership vacuum in world society, this book explores a future leading role of the Gulf countries in such institutions as the G-20 and the OECD. Based on rigorous analysis of macro-level data and opinion surveys with relevance for the Gulf region, it analyzes the global macro-factors shaping the Gulf's future at a time of the global COVID-19 crisis and depression and rising global tensions. Starting with an empirical time series analysis of the long cycles of global politics and economics, it highlights the implications for the Gulf region. Offering a multivariate analysis of civil society values in the Gulf, the author analyzes value changes and attitudes on antisemitism, political Islam, internal security, democracy, and other issues of Arab politics. The partially optimistic conclusions of the study testify to the underestimated and incipient maturity of the Gulfs civil society and strongly suggest that the Gulf's future is rather with the free societies of the West and not with a Neo-Ottoman Empire in whatever form. "Exceptional in scope and right up-to-the-minute in coverage" Brian M Pollins, Associate, Professor Emeritus, The Ohio State University. "An outstanding and topical book by an astute scholar of the MENA region" Professor Hussein Solomon, Academic Head of Department, Political Studies and Governance, University of the Free State, South Africa. "The most comprehensive and insightful study on the subject to date" Manfred B. Steger, Professor of Sociology, University of Hawai'i at Manoa and Global Professorial Fellow, Western Sydney University
Note 4.1 Introduction to Kondratieff Waves, Warfare, and World Security and Their Implications for the Gulf Region.
Bibliography, etc. Note Includes bibliographical references and indexes.
Access Note Access limited to authorized users.
Source of Description Description based on print version record.
Series Gulf studies ; v. 2.
Available in Other Form Future of the Gulf Region.
Linked Resources Online Access
Record Appears in Online Resources > Ebooks
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Intro
Preface
References
Praise for The Future of the Gulf Region: Value Change and Global Cycles
Contents
List of Figures
List of Tables
1 Introduction: Factors Affecting the Gulf's Future
1.1 What This Book Is All About
1.2 Gulf Studies: General Perspectives on Current Research on the Subject
1.2.1 The Gulf Countries-An Attempt at Regional Integration
1.2.2 Gulf Security
1.2.3 The GCC-The Balance Sheet of the Integration Process
1.2.4 The Gulf and Comparative Regional Integration

1.3 Introducing a "UNDP Perspective": Focusing on Inequality and Still Existing Restrictive Gender Norms
References
2 Methodology and Data for Assessing the Effects of Global Cycles and Value Change on the Future of the Gulf Region
2.1 Introduction to the Methodology and Data for the Study of the Factors Affecting the Gulf's Future: Global Cycles and Value Change
2.2 Statistical Methods for the Study of the Factors Affecting the Gulf's Future
2.3 Time Series Analysis in Chaps. 3 and 4
2.4 Methods of Time Series Analyses in Chaps. 3 and 4

2.5 The Survey Data Used from Chaps. 5-8
2.5.1 Arab Opinion Index
2.5.2 PEW Spring Surveys
2.5.3 World Values Survey
2.5.4 Arab Barometer
2.5.5 The ADL-100 Index of Global Antisemitism
2.6 UNDP-type Index Construction
2.7 Indicators Based on Advanced Multivariate Methodology
2.8 Value and Development Accounting for the Gulf Region
2.9 Predictors of Antisemitism
2.10 Accounting for Value Change Across Generations
References
3 COVID-19 and the Contours of the Impending Global Crisis: Western Meltdown, Gulf Fallout?

3.1 Introduction to COVID-19 and the Contours of the Impending Global Crisis
3.2 COVID-19 and the Current Global Crisis
3.3 "The Pandemic Is Expected to Leave Lasting Economic Scars" (World Bank, 2021): What the World Can Learn from Past Pandemics
3.4 What the World Can Learn from the Great Depression
3.5 What the World Can Learn from the End of the Soviet Union and "Real Socialism" in Eastern Europe
3.6 What the World Can Learn from the 2008/2009 Crisis
3.7 The Geostrategic Implications of the 2008/2009: Now, There Is Worse to Come

3.8 How Well Prepared Are the Gulf Countries?
3.9 "The Pandemic Is Expected to Leave Lasting Economic Scars" (World Bank, 2021): Public Health and Mortality effects
3.10 The Economic Fallout from COVID-19
3.10.1 Drivers of the Severity of the Global Health Impact
3.11 What We Know About Pandemic Severity Rates
3.12 The Rising Chinese Global Dominance
3.13 Prospects and Conclusions for the World After the Pandemic
References
4 Caught in the "Thucydides Trap?" Revisiting Kondratieff Waves, Warfare, and World Security and Their Implications for the Gulf Region

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