Crashes, crises, and calamities [electronic resource] : how we can use science to read the early-warning signs / Len Fisher.
Fisher, Len.
2011
HV675 .F49 2011eb
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Title
Crashes, crises, and calamities [electronic resource] : how we can use science to read the early-warning signs / Len Fisher.
Author
Fisher, Len.
ISBN
9780465023356 (electronic book)
9780465021024
0465021026
Publication Details
New York : Basic Books, 2011.
Language
English
Description
1 online resource (xviii, 233 p.) : ill.
Call Number
HV675 .F49 2011eb
Summary
Drawing on ecology and biology, math and physics, the author offers four fundamental tools that scientists and engineers use to forecast the likelihood of sudden change: stability, catastrophe, complexity, and game theories.
Note
Description based on print version record.
Bibliography, etc. Note
Includes bibliographical references and index.
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Access limited to authorized users.
Available in Other Form
Crashes, crises, and calamities.
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Pt. 1. A potted pre-history of prognostication. Do animals have crystal balls?
The future eclipsed
Galileo's hell
Pt. 2. How disasters happen. The stress of it all
Runaway disaster
The balance of nature and the nature of balance
Pt. 3. Imminent catastrophes : reading the signs. The chaotic ecology of dragons
Teetering on the brink of catastrophe
Models and supermodels
Beware of mathematicians
Weak signals as major early-warning signs
Summary : The future of forecasting.

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