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Pt. 1. A potted pre-history of prognostication. Do animals have crystal balls?
The future eclipsed
Galileo's hell
Pt. 2. How disasters happen. The stress of it all
Runaway disaster
The balance of nature and the nature of balance
Pt. 3. Imminent catastrophes : reading the signs. The chaotic ecology of dragons
Teetering on the brink of catastrophe
Models and supermodels
Beware of mathematicians
Weak signals as major early-warning signs
Summary : The future of forecasting.

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