Natural disasters, when will they reach me? [electronic resource] / Isuri Wijesundera, Malka N. Halgamuge, Thrishantha Nanayakkara, Thas Nirmalathas.
Wijesundera, Isuri, author.; Halgamuge, Malka N., author; Nanayakkara, Thrishantha, author.; Nirmalathas, Thas, author.
2016
GB5014
Available Online

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Title Natural disasters, when will they reach me? [electronic resource] / Isuri Wijesundera, Malka N. Halgamuge, Thrishantha Nanayakkara, Thas Nirmalathas.
ISBN 9789811011139 (electronic book)
9811011133 (electronic book)
9789811011115
Published Singapore : Springer, 2016.
Language English
Description 1 online resource (xvi, 128 pages) : illustrations.
Call Number GB5014
Dewey Decimal Classification 363.34072/7
Summary The expected time of impact, also known as the mean first passage time (MFPT) to reach failure, is a critical metric in the management of natural disasters. The complexity of the dynamics governing natural disasters lead to stochastic behaviour. This book shows that state transitions of many such systems translate into random walks on their respective state spaces, biased and shaped by environmental inhomogeneity. Thus the probabilistic treatment of those random walks gives valuable insights of expected behaviour. A comprehensive case study of predicting cyclone induced flood is followed by a discussion of generic methods that predict MFPT addressing directional bias. This is followed by discussing MFPT prediction methods in systems showing network inhomogeneity. All presented methods are illustrated using real datasets of natural disasters. The book ends with a short discussion of possible future research areas introducing the problem of predicting MFPT for bush-fire propagation.
Bibliography, etc. Note Includes bibliographical references and index.
Access Note Access limited to authorized users.
Source of Description Online resource; title from PDF title page (SpringerLink, viewed May 25, 2016).
Added Author Wijesundera, Isuri, author.
Halgamuge, Malka N., author
Nanayakkara, Thrishantha, author.
Nirmalathas, Thas, author.
Series Springer natural hazards.
Available in Other Form Natural disasters, when will they reach me?
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All Resources
The stochastic nature of disaster propagation
Predicting Flood induced by cyclones
How to forecast the spread of bushfires
Propagation on a non-homogeneous media in the presence of bias
Conclusion.

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