Natural disasters, when will they reach me? [electronic resource] / Isuri Wijesundera, Malka N. Halgamuge, Thrishantha Nanayakkara, Thas Nirmalathas.
2016
GB5014
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Title
Natural disasters, when will they reach me? [electronic resource] / Isuri Wijesundera, Malka N. Halgamuge, Thrishantha Nanayakkara, Thas Nirmalathas.
ISBN
9789811011139 (electronic book)
9811011133 (electronic book)
9789811011115
9811011133 (electronic book)
9789811011115
Published
Singapore : Springer, 2016.
Language
English
Description
1 online resource (xvi, 128 pages) : illustrations.
Call Number
GB5014
Dewey Decimal Classification
363.34072/7
Summary
The expected time of impact, also known as the mean first passage time (MFPT) to reach failure, is a critical metric in the management of natural disasters. The complexity of the dynamics governing natural disasters lead to stochastic behaviour. This book shows that state transitions of many such systems translate into random walks on their respective state spaces, biased and shaped by environmental inhomogeneity. Thus the probabilistic treatment of those random walks gives valuable insights of expected behaviour. A comprehensive case study of predicting cyclone induced flood is followed by a discussion of generic methods that predict MFPT addressing directional bias. This is followed by discussing MFPT prediction methods in systems showing network inhomogeneity. All presented methods are illustrated using real datasets of natural disasters. The book ends with a short discussion of possible future research areas introducing the problem of predicting MFPT for bush-fire propagation.
Bibliography, etc. Note
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Access Note
Access limited to authorized users.
Source of Description
Online resource; title from PDF title page (SpringerLink, viewed May 25, 2016).
Added Author
Wijesundera, Isuri, author.
Halgamuge, Malka N., author
Nanayakkara, Thrishantha, author.
Nirmalathas, Thas, author.
Halgamuge, Malka N., author
Nanayakkara, Thrishantha, author.
Nirmalathas, Thas, author.
Series
Springer natural hazards.
Available in Other Form
Natural disasters, when will they reach me?
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Table of Contents
The stochastic nature of disaster propagation
Predicting Flood induced by cyclones
How to forecast the spread of bushfires
Propagation on a non-homogeneous media in the presence of bias
Conclusion.
Predicting Flood induced by cyclones
How to forecast the spread of bushfires
Propagation on a non-homogeneous media in the presence of bias
Conclusion.